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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the wii eventually outsell the PS2?

phinch1 on 30 April 2009

I think it will go over the 100 million mark, the reason why the ps2 sold so well was because the amount of games it had I don't think the wii can match the amount of games



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Jboy0990 on 30 April 2009

Doubtful



The Almighty Narf on 30 April 2009

Wii sales would have to drop off so catastrophically for it NOT to eventually outsell the PS2 at this point that I really don't think anything can prevent it's inevitability. Fact is that as long as Nintendo continues to put out "mass market" games, it'll be near impossible to topple them.



tuoyo on 30 April 2009

I don't think so. If 3rd parties had jumped on board then definitely. But as it is with Nintendo almost having to go it alone I think it would be very tough.



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TWRoO on 30 April 2009
Dr.KennethNoisewater said:
Nah no way it reaches PS2 levels. And remember PS2 is undertracked on this site, its been put at as much as 140 million and this site has it at 124 million

*pulls hair out*

GRRRRR!

 



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Dannagar on 30 April 2009

It depends on when Nintendo decides to release Wii 2. It could. The Nintendo DS will Pass Playstation 2 sales.



 

 

 

 

 

goddog on 30 April 2009
TWRoO said:
Dr.KennethNoisewater said:
Nah no way it reaches PS2 levels. And remember PS2 is undertracked on this site, its been put at as much as 140 million and this site has it at 124 million

*pulls hair out*

GRRRRR!

 

 

its okay, we know they cant read, or even read sonys own reports that state the differences in numbers reported through out the ps2 life.  

 

and no violence is not the answer 



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Mummelmann on 30 April 2009
TheSource said:

Too early to say for Wii.

Even if Wii has already peaked, the peak was higher than the PS2 peak...without a price cut for Wii...while PS2 had a price cut. So if Nintendo supports it, and corrects the situation in Japan somewhat its more than possible...its probable.

Wii is trending faster than DS, and DS is ahead of PS1 in real time (as of April 30) and still on pace to top 30m a year. PS2 shipments were officially at 136.3m according to SCEE as of December 2008, and probably stand at 137.5m through March 2009 (we'll know the exact figure May 14).

PS2 shipments will be say at 143m by March 2010, DS at maybe 135m over the same period.

So by September 2010, DS and PS2 could be at 145m or something. By that time DS will be 5 years and 10 months old, while PS2 will be 10 years and 6 months old. Wii could theoretically hit those figures at about 5 years with the way it is selling.

We'll probably get a good idea on May 7 when Nintendo announces it financial year projections. If they put Wii at 20m for the March 2010 year then something has gone very wrong, but if its flat or higher than FY 2009 (25m+) Wii has at least a 40% chance of topping PS2 as far as I'm concerned.

With a world wide launch at about the same time, 20m a year used to mean 8/8/4 between Americas, Others, Japan. Because of the DS though, we know that 10/12/8 is possible between the three regions. If DS can sell 8m in Japan in a single year, ~15m-20m for Others/Americas should be the limit to look for. 20/20/8 in a single year isn't going to happen this generation for a single machine, but its probably possible within 10 years for a portable, and with a price cut and some more big titles I don't think it'd be impossible for Wii to do 15/15/3 for a a year or two.

 

If I were a nerd chick your posts would make me horny! Quality post, as always!

OT: I'm not sure it will tbh, the numbers are surely massive but I still doubt that the Wii has the same staying power and it needs quite a few years of good sales yet to top 145-150 million (which is probably where the PS2 will end up). It is still only one third of the way after two and-a half years so it either needs to step up the numbers or keep the numbers relatively high for quite some time.



Zucas on 30 April 2009

I've always predicted about 80-100 million lifetime for the Wii and for now I'm still comfortable with that. However, 2008 almost made me adjust that haha but I'm still sitting on that. If 2009, though, continues like 2008 did (which is certainly how it seems to be going) then I will definitely have to adjust my prediction.



austin2359 on 30 April 2009

The only question is whether the wii will have legs.

it definitely is selling fast enough now.