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Forums - Gaming - Prediction: PS6 won't sell over 50 million units lifetime.

 

How many PS6's will be sold lifetime?

Over 100 million. 9 10.71%
 
90 million to 100 million. 8 9.52%
 
80 million to 89 million 10 11.90%
 
70 million to 79 million 12 14.29%
 
60 million to 69 million 6 7.14%
 
50 million to 59 million 10 11.90%
 
40 million to 49 million 16 19.05%
 
30 million to 39 million 5 5.95%
 
20 million to 29 million 2 2.38%
 
under 20 million 6 7.14%
 
Total:84
Leynos said:
curl-6 said:

The model you describe is not sustainable long term though, and is wide open to disruption.

Also, you can only neglect 98% of society and treat them like serfs for so long before they get angry enough to bite back. This goes well beyond video games of course, but if the current trajectory of society continues, eventually you get a French Revolution scenario.

I won't go further into that though, at the risk of derailing the thread or getting moderated.

They don't care about long term effects. Just short term profit rise. We are well beyond needing a revolution. No one has done a fucking thing. Why? Because this time we been the boiling frog. 



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No physicals, nearly no exclusives, near or over 4-digit price, no portability, no PC stores' games, Switch 2 obligerating everything else for the next 8 years or so, while offering the opposite of all those things except PC stores ... well despite all those negative aspects, since Sony fans are living in their little world putting up with all of Sony's nonsense, it's probably going to sell around 80m or so, maybe surpassing PS3, maybe not. But it will in no way reach 100m or even half of Switch 2 final sales, which will probably be replaced with Switch 3 around 1-2 years before PS7 releases.




Watching the events of the cosmos unfold in tears and solitude

xl-klaudkil said:
ConciousMan said:

Nothing wrong with that, but no company wants to support your demand in the next gen era. Digital ownership and decentralized storage, that cannot be shut down as long as users are willing to keep it going, is the future. Sony pushing for live service and not funding as much resources towards AAA will be evident next gen too.

Wait whatt,you mean to say sony will STOP with videogaming?.

....

..

.

Haha

They won't, but they will look to invest more resources into manufacturing and memory production too. They're a technology company first and foremost. Unlike Nintendo, Sony can survive long term without Playstation and they will move towards more revenue generating avenues. Gaming as a whole will collapse for a couple years due to upcoming crisis that can be seen if you know humans history.



ConciousMan said:
xl-klaudkil said:

Wait whatt,you mean to say sony will STOP with videogaming?.

....

..

.

Haha

They won't, but they will look to invest more resources into manufacturing and memory production too. They're a technology company first and foremost. Unlike Nintendo, Sony can survive long term without Playstation and they will move towards more revenue generating avenues. Gaming as a whole will collapse for a couple years due to upcoming crisis that can be seen if you know humans history.

Thats true



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

With the most recent PS news about digital only after 2028, aka PS6 onward, about half of my PS4 gaming friends who've been thinking about getting an XBSS for GTAVI finally did before the price increase takes effect. The others are still contemplating, but once some make a move, typically the others follow soon enough. The new Halo CE very well may push them over the edge to jump in.

Unless there's a reasonably affordable PS6, it sounds like they're sticking with PS4 as their SNY console and XBSS for newer games they can't get on PS4.

SNY's future in this economic climate is mostly whales for PS6 if they don't go back to a PS4 mindset.



PS1   - ! - We must build a console that can alert our enemies.

PS2  - @- We must build a console that offers online living room gaming.

PS3   - #- We must build a console that’s powerful, social, costs and does everything.

PS4   - $- We must build a console that’s affordable, charges for services, and pumps out exclusives.

PRO  -%-We must build a console that's VR ready, checkerboard upscales, and sells but a fraction of the money printer.

PS5   - ^ -We must build a console that’s a generational cross product, with RT lighting, and price hiking.

PRO  -&- We must build a console that Super Res upscales and continues the cost increases.

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Yeah it's easy to forget there's still a good 25m or so PS4 owners who haven't upgraded to PS5, which is more people than owned an original Xbox.

What percentage of PS5 owners will buy a $1000 PS6 that will have no physical games and likely an almost entirely crossgen library? It will likely fill a similar niche to the PS5 Pro, where it's effectively an unofficial mid-gen "PS5 Pro Pro" that's mostly for wealthy enthusiasts.



curl-6 said:

Yeah it's easy to forget there's still a good 25m or so PS4 owners who haven't upgraded to PS5, which is more people than owned an original Xbox.

What percentage of PS5 owners will buy a $1000 PS6 that will have no physical games and likely an almost entirely crossgen library? It will likely fill a similar niche to the PS5 Pro, where it's effectively an unofficial mid-gen "PS5 Pro Pro" that's mostly for wealthy enthusiasts.

Yup.

To me, if this were going to be the case, SNY might as well keep 9th gen going instead. Discontinue PS5 and Pro. Make PS6 Lite but call it PS5 Lite. Make the PS6 handheld but call it PS5 'something'. Make the PS6 but call it PS5 Pro II or Pro Max or whatever.

Just continue 9th gen. Make sure all future games beyond 2027 work on all PS5 devices, which would probably happen anyway if PS6 started 10th gen. This also would get rid of the cross gen negativity, since there seemingly wouldn't be any cross gen if PS5 just continues.

Maybe kick off 10th gen 2032 ish in that case?



PS1   - ! - We must build a console that can alert our enemies.

PS2  - @- We must build a console that offers online living room gaming.

PS3   - #- We must build a console that’s powerful, social, costs and does everything.

PS4   - $- We must build a console that’s affordable, charges for services, and pumps out exclusives.

PRO  -%-We must build a console that's VR ready, checkerboard upscales, and sells but a fraction of the money printer.

PS5   - ^ -We must build a console that’s a generational cross product, with RT lighting, and price hiking.

PRO  -&- We must build a console that Super Res upscales and continues the cost increases.

ConciousMan said:
Jumpin said:

Haha, apparently I'm a Sony fan now, a proponent of physical media, and a supporter the AAA industry! XD

Nothing wrong with that, but no company wants to support your demand in the next gen era. Digital ownership and decentralized storage, that cannot be shut down as long as users are willing to keep it going, is the future. Sony pushing for live service and not funding as much resources towards AAA will be evident next gen too.

..........What demand am I making? 😄

Come on, dude. My post was about how currently rising RAM prices probably won't impact the industry as much as people think down the line, because the AI bubble will either pop or the industry will adjust to the new normal by ramping up production. I then go off on the media driven overdramatic catastrophizing of pricing rather than internet fans putting some actual critical thought about the more likely directions things will take. Why the fuck do you think popping off on digital ownership and AAA games, whilst labeling/implying me a Sony/AAA/Physical media fan, is an argument against what I wrote?

Seeing as how you're new around here: I'm an all digital guy; I game on Nintendo/mobile/Steam exclusive (haven't so much as even touched a PS4 or PS5 controller); the vast majority of what I play and talk about on this forum are indie and classic game ports, remakes, and remasters.

In other words, don't expect me to care about or defend your straw man. 😄



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

EricHiggin said:

With the most recent PS news about digital only after 2028, aka PS6 onward, about half of my PS4 gaming friends who've been thinking about getting an XBSS for GTAVI finally did before the price increase takes effect. The others are still contemplating, but once some make a move, typically the others follow soon enough. The new Halo CE very well may push them over the edge to jump in.

Unless there's a reasonably affordable PS6, it sounds like they're sticking with PS4 as their SNY console and XBSS for newer games they can't get on PS4.

SNY's future in this economic climate is mostly whales for PS6 if they don't go back to a PS4 mindset.

So your friends left their PS libraries for Xbox to buy a game that’s digital only and a game that isn’t even on the disc (Halo) .. for a future in an ecosystem (Xbox) that has more of a chance of imploding than the Ocean gate submarine. 🤔 



Ride The Chariot | ‘26 Completed

Jumpin said:
ConciousMan said:

Nothing wrong with that, but no company wants to support your demand in the next gen era. Digital ownership and decentralized storage, that cannot be shut down as long as users are willing to keep it going, is the future. Sony pushing for live service and not funding as much resources towards AAA will be evident next gen too.

..........What demand am I making? 😄

Come on, dude. My post was about how currently rising RAM prices probably won't impact the industry as much as people think down the line, because the AI bubble will either pop or the industry will adjust to the new normal by ramping up production. I then go off on the media driven overdramatic catastrophizing of pricing rather than internet fans putting some actual critical thought about the more likely directions things will take. Why the fuck do you think popping off on digital ownership and AAA games, whilst labeling/implying me a Sony/AAA/Physical media fan, is an argument against what I wrote?

Seeing as how you're new around here: I'm an all digital guy; I game on Nintendo/mobile/Steam exclusive (haven't so much as even touched a PS4 or PS5 controller); the vast majority of what I play and talk about on this forum are indie and classic game ports, remakes, and remasters.

In other words, don't expect me to care about or defend your straw man. 😄

Ok, since it's the first time I replied to you I didn't get what you meant. No worries, it's just I think Sony will divest from gaming to capitalize on memory craze and manufacturing processes. This would be actually useful, way more than another woke game like the Last of Us 2 which I will never play despite the reviews.