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Forums - Sales - Bloomberg: Nintendo to cut Switch 2 production by 30%

Please correct me if I am wrong but doesn't that put Nintendo at 21 million shipped by 3/31/26? Wouldn't that put them ahead of their 19 million prediction. They never changed their prediction of 19 million and they have already shipped 17.37 million. The math isn't mathing for me. Is he saying that they planned to produce 6 million (regardless of what they actually planned to ship based on actual sales)?

"The output cut shouldn’t affect Nintendo’s ability to meet the average analyst estimate of about 20 million Switch 2 units sold in the fiscal year through this month, the people said."

Okay this makes more sense.  So he is saying that they will meet their sales predictions, but that Nintendo had originally intended to actually produce 6 million this quarter (thats 1.5 million a month down to 1 million a month for the quarter).   This could me a bunch of things but it look like it just means they were looking to ship a certain amount come Q1 but have lowered those predictions.  If this is true, we still would need to know what Nintendo's FY 26 predictions are.  

Regardless, it looks like they will beat their predictions for 2025.

Last edited by CosmicSex - 3 hours ago

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If it was Jason publishing it then yeah, it would be a guaranteed thing happening.

It's not, so... dunno.

I do think the NS2 will get a price increase this year tho.



BraLoD said:

If it was Jason publishing it then yeah, it would be a guaranteed thing happening.

I do think the NS2 will get a price increase this year tho.

I keep seeing people predict that.  Why do people think they woudl do this?



The whole 4k Switch annoys me. The ps5 is rarely 4k. Christ, my 4090 is usually rendered at 1440p and upscaling to 4k. Feels like people don't realize most hardware doesn't typically hit 4k.



“Consoles are great… if you like paying extra for features PCs had in 2005.”
CosmicSex said:
BraLoD said:

If it was Jason publishing it then yeah, it would be a guaranteed thing happening.

I do think the NS2 will get a price increase this year tho.

I keep seeing people predict that.  Why do people think they woudl do this?

Its accessories already did back in 2025, Nintendo is now suing the USA government over its tariffs bullshit.

They avoided increasing the price of the hardware last year to not affect the release, but now we get into the slower part of the first full year, and it has already sold a ton upfront, I do think they'll finally raise it and discount it back during Black Friday and holidays deals tho.

PS5 and XB both raised in price some time ago, XB did it twice actually.

The prices are completely out of control now for RAMs and SSDs, and I think Nintendo blew their older stock to guarantee NS2 could reach as many customers as possible, so they definitely should be getting way worse deals now.

Meanwhile Sony was already steadily purchasing components as usual and stockpilled it to avoid another price increase this year, as they didn't have to products as many PS5 all at the same time. They also reduced the PS5 internal SSD from 1TB back to 825GB as it originally had.



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BraLoD said:
CosmicSex said:

I keep seeing people predict that.  Why do people think they woudl do this?

Its accessories already did back in 2025, Nintendo is now suing the USA government over its tariffs bullshit.

They avoided increasing the price of the hardware last year to not affect the release, but now we get into the slower part of the first full year, and it has already sold a ton upfront, I do think they'll finally raise it and discount it back during Black Friday and holidays deals tho.

PS5 and XB both raised in price some time ago, XB did it twice actually.

The prices are completely out of control now for RAMs and SSDs, and I think Nintendo blew their older stock to guarantee NS2 could reach as many customers as possible, so they definitely should be getting way worse deals now.

Meanwhile Sony was already steadily purchasing components as usual and stockpilled it to avoid another price increase this year, as they didn't have to products as many PS5 all at the same time. They also reduced the PS5 internal SSD from 1TB back to 825GB as it originally had.

Okay well the logic and the timeline tracks... but I wish there was another way.  I really don't want to see consoles go up any more.  The more I look into it, the more I see there are between a orange rock and a hard place.  Maybe they could get Japan to cost share with the rest of the world and cut supply of the region locked unit in Japan.  Maybe cutting prouduction can help mitigate the cost until costs go back down.   Perhaps they can just simply wait until they get some clarity into what should be a refund per the Supreme Court decision in the US.  What a mess. 



Chrkeller said:

The whole 4k Switch annoys me. The ps5 is rarely 4k. Christ, my 4090 is usually rendered at 1440p and upscaling to 4k. Feels like people don't realize most hardware doesn't typically hit 4k.

"4k" just means outputting at 4k/resolutions above 1080p and taking advantage of a 4k displays. PS4 Pro and Xbox One X were "4k" machines released about a decade ago. Xbox One X actually hit native 4k surprisingly often which is the other thing. The less demanding the base game, the easier it is to hit the higher resolutions.



Otter said:
Chrkeller said:

The whole 4k Switch annoys me. The ps5 is rarely 4k. Christ, my 4090 is usually rendered at 1440p and upscaling to 4k. Feels like people don't realize most hardware doesn't typically hit 4k.

"4k" just means outputting at 4k/resolutions above 1080p and taking advantage of a 4k displays. PS4 Pro and Xbox One X were "4k" machines released about a decade ago. Xbox One X actually hit native 4k surprisingly often which is the other thing. The less demanding the base game, the easier it is to hit the higher resolutions.

I get it, to some degree, but even the ps4 pro used checkerboard upscaling to hit 4k.  To me, probably being childish, 4k means native.  Most games, outside indie, are not 4k.  Rebirth on the ps5 can fall as low as 1620p via dynamic scaling.  Spiderman 2 in Fidelity mode drops to 1440p, Performance mode can drop to 1080p.  

Also doesn't help I think 4k is grossly overrated.  1440p vs 4k is so close, 4k isnt worth the resources.  

But I am off topic quite a bit.

Last edited by Chrkeller - 2 hours ago

“Consoles are great… if you like paying extra for features PCs had in 2005.”
CosmicSex said:
BraLoD said:

Its accessories already did back in 2025, Nintendo is now suing the USA government over its tariffs bullshit.

They avoided increasing the price of the hardware last year to not affect the release, but now we get into the slower part of the first full year, and it has already sold a ton upfront, I do think they'll finally raise it and discount it back during Black Friday and holidays deals tho.

PS5 and XB both raised in price some time ago, XB did it twice actually.

The prices are completely out of control now for RAMs and SSDs, and I think Nintendo blew their older stock to guarantee NS2 could reach as many customers as possible, so they definitely should be getting way worse deals now.

Meanwhile Sony was already steadily purchasing components as usual and stockpilled it to avoid another price increase this year, as they didn't have to products as many PS5 all at the same time. They also reduced the PS5 internal SSD from 1TB back to 825GB as it originally had.

Okay well the logic and the timeline tracks... but I wish there was another way.  I really don't want to see consoles go up any more.  The more I look into it, the more I see there are between a orange rock and a hard place.  Maybe they could get Japan to cost share with the rest of the world and cut supply of the region locked unit in Japan.  Maybe cutting prouduction can help mitigate the cost until costs go back down.   Perhaps they can just simply wait until they get some clarity into what should be a refund per the Supreme Court decision in the US.  What a mess. 

Sadly I expect the PS5 to get another price increase in 2027 if things stay as bad as they are now.

Either that or PS+ is getting another substantial price increase and games embrace the $80 price tag.

I think Nintendo has room to sell the NS2 at loss if they want to, to avoid it, but it wasn't ever really their thing to sell hardware at a loss.



BraLoD said:
CosmicSex said:

Okay well the logic and the timeline tracks... but I wish there was another way.  I really don't want to see consoles go up any more.  The more I look into it, the more I see there are between a orange rock and a hard place.  Maybe they could get Japan to cost share with the rest of the world and cut supply of the region locked unit in Japan.  Maybe cutting prouduction can help mitigate the cost until costs go back down.   Perhaps they can just simply wait until they get some clarity into what should be a refund per the Supreme Court decision in the US.  What a mess. 

Sadly I expect the PS5 to get another price increase in 2027 if things stay as bad as they are now.

Either that or PS+ is getting another substantial price increase and games embrace the $80 price tag.

I think Nintendo has room to sell the NS2 at loss if they want to, to avoid it, but it wasn't ever really their thing to sell hardware at a loss.

PSN+ will get a price increase and drive me further away from Sony.  I loathe, absolutely loathe, paying for online.



“Consoles are great… if you like paying extra for features PCs had in 2005.”