It'll be interesting to see if Sony's tune changes as GTAVI draws nearer. As it stands right now, it doesn't sound like higher-ups are convinced that hardware will move in a significant enough manner for PS5 to catch up to NS2, and if they maintain this tone, then Switch 2 has already won since PS5 won't have sufficient supply to overtake NS2 regardless of how large GTAVI ends up being.

But anything is possible. Just gotta sit and wait. I do believe that Sony will eventually come around to percieving GTAVI as being a much larger release than originally anticipated. Also gotta see how much interest there is for this alleged Ocarina of Time remake... that could really move a ton of Switch 2 units if done right.

Nah. Might as well get another $10 for the PS6 GTAVI upgrade.

If it's not increased to $20 by that time...

No, what I meant is PC gamers, who are the most numerous group of gaming audience like me, will choose to wait for the PC release. The majority of PC gamers that are in higher income brackets, have probably at least middle class Ampere GPU like RTX 3080, with Core i7 and 16 GB of DDR5 Ram. There's no point for us to purchase PS5 to play the game. People like me have even more powerful hardware, there's no need to upgrade to play GTA 6 in 2027 or 2028. Hopefully, I made myself clearer now.

Also, given the open world nature of the game and probably mandatory RT. This game won't run well on PS5. Rockstars engine probably will be more optimized for Nvidia hardware based on previous games. Also, I may be mistaken, but this time around the sales of PS5 won't increase much thanks to both Wolverine and GTA 6, as the console is in very mature stage of market presence.

Take Two's forecast wasn't anything special, so if even Take Two doesn't see GTA 6 boosting them to bigger numbers, i struggle to see why Sony would think they would get a mega boost.

I mean according to Take Two's profit forecast, GTA 6 is like a Mario Galaxy movie level boost when it comes to profits for them.

Previously it seemed to be like it could go either way. But yet another price increase to PS5 and looking at current YTD sales, it seems obvious Switch 2 will win by an obvious margin.
Nintendo's holiday slot is still wide open, and even if it's not 3D Mario or something big it doesn't matter. GTA VI will do something for PS5, but not that much, I think. Probably not as much as GTA V did for PS3 and Xbox 360.
I don't see 15 million units or more happening for PS5.

Not really.

The gap is already about 1.5m in favor of S2 and it'll only grow until GTA VI arrives in November. By then, the gap could be anywhere from 4m to 6m. 

I can't really see PS5 having its best holiday season this late in its life, GTAVI or not.

You start off talking about PC gamers in Their multitudes then talking about higher income bracket PC only gamers with socioeconomic aware graphics cards  ..but here we are.   I would suggest that their income bracket might not be as high as you think.  

Your comment about the PS5 not running well is unsubstantiated. The only footage we have is running on a PS5 and it looks great... better than nearly everything that has come before it.  It looks like a billion dollar game.  Sure the PS5 isn't the most powerful setup ever but it runs games very well.  I had a similar realization when I got my Switch 2... its not as powerful as my PS5 Pro for sure but it runs games just fine and im not bothered when playing it.  

According to your logic no one would buy a third party game in Switch 2.

The average PC on Steam is weaker than a PS5 so the majority of PC gamers are not a part of the cohort you described.    I think your logic makes sense for you but I would caution against extrapolating out your own anecdotes to encompass all gamers. I suppose we all do it to some extent.

To make sure we are on the same page, you are essentially saying that GAP advantage of Switch 2 for the first three quarters will be bigger than the GAP advantage of the PS5 in CYQ4. 

Is this correct and do we all expect PS5 to lead the final quarter?