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Forums - Sales Discussion - JAPAN Consoles Showdown 2024: April 21st

 

Will the PS5 sell more than 2M in 2024?

Yes 5 27.78%
 
No 13 72.22%
 
Total:18
XtremeBG on 31 December 2023

This is the JAPAN Console Showdown comparison thread for 2024.

It will be only for the JAPAN region, and will be the only sales thread from me, that will be updated weekly since the site is updating the worldwide numbers monthly instead of weekly.

To be able to update them weekly I will put the Famitsu numbers each week, and when VGCharts releases estimated ones, I will adjust them with those numbers, because the competitor's numbers are VGCharts estimated and not Famitsu ones, and therefore it is more fair to compare them to the numbers from the same place, and at the same time.

The battles for this year for JAPAN are as follows:

  • Nintendo Switch 2024 vs PlayStation 5 2024
  • Nintendo Switch vs NDS'10 (2.9M) vs Wii'10 (1.7M)
  • PlayStation 5 vs PS4'16 (2M) vs PSP'10 (2.9M)
  • XBOX Series vs XB360'11 (115K) vs XB360'07 (260K)

*The target for all of the comparisons is to be as close as possible (and with that to give us better perspective where the given console is going this year) and to have good chance of finishing close in the end. Therefore if some of the contenders go way far one from another then, the contender's year, or even the contender itself may change so that it suits better to the given's console performance in 2024. Other thing is also I would not repeat main competitor (on the tables) from the year before from my thread, so even if it's a good fit, I would always look for a different one, so it's always new and fresh.*

2024 Nintendo Switch vs 2024 PlayStation 5 Comparison

Week/Month '24 NSW - Weekly '24 NSW - Yearly '24 PS5 - Weekly '24 PS5 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 104,551 104,551 41,126 41,126 -63,425 -63,425
2 46,604 151,155 36,506 77,632 -10,098 -73,523
3 43,692 194,847 57,903 135,535 +14,211 -59,312
4 46,435 241,282 49,945 185,480 +3,510 -55,802
5 41,966 283,248 34,484 219,964 -7,482 -63,284
February 49,543 332,791
 40,745 260,709 -8,798 -72,082
7 48,391 381,182 38,212 298,921 -10,179 -82,261
8 50,886 432,068 33,504 332,425 -17,382 -99,643
9 62,531 494,599 48,067 380,492 -14,464 -114,107
March 65,898 560,497
 39,064 419,556
 -26,834 -140,941
11 42,883 603,380 26,516 446,072 -16,367 -157,308
12 60,828 664,208 27,788 473,860 -33,040 -190,348
13 57,533 721,741 20,846 494,706 -36,687 -227,035
April 71,942 793,683 24,976 519,682
 -46,966 -274,001
15 71,273 864,956 20,941 540,623 -50,332 -324,333
16 64,281 929,237 21,297 561,920 -42,984 -367,317
17
May
19
20
21
June
23
24
25
26
July
28
29
30
August
32
33
34
35
September
37
38
39
October
41
42
43
November
45
46
47
48
December
50
51
52

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2010 Nintendo DS vs 2024 Nintendo Switch Comparison

Week/Month 10' DS - Weekly '10 DS - Yearly '24 NSW - Weekly '24 NSW - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 110,547 110,547 104,551 104,551 -5,996 -5,996
2 63,689 174,236 46,604 151,155 -17,085 -23,081
3 51,542 225,778 43,692 194,847 -7,850 -30,931
4 72,429 298,207 46,435 241,282 -25,994 -56,925
5 54,551 352,758 41,966 283,248 -12,585 -69,510
February 52,242 405,000 49,543 332,791 -2,699 -72,209
7 46,256 451,256 48,391 381,182 +2,135 -70,074
8 46,798 498,054 50,886 432,068 +4,088 -65,986
9 45,573 543,627 62,531 494,599 +16,958 -49,028
March 40,569 584,196 65,898 560,497 +25,329 -23,699
11 40,975 625,171 42,883 603,380 +1,908 -21,791
12 45,553 670,724 60,828 664,208 +15,275 -6,516
13 42,160 712,884 57,533 721,741 +15,373 +8,857
April 36,923 749,807 71,942 793,683 +35,019 +43,876
15 31,626 781,433 71,273 864,956 +39,647 +83,523
16 31,143 812,576 64,281 929,237 +33,138 +116,661
17 45,371 857,947
May 45,466 903,413
19 28,446 931,859
20 26,518 958,377
21 28,757 987,134
June 20,331 1,007,465
23 22,397 1,029,862
24 52,736 1,082,598
25 66,881 1,149,479
26 54,859 1,204,338
July 50,087 1,254,425
28 46,576 1,301,001
29 45,955 1,346,956
30 44,428 1,391,384
August 42,468 1,433,852
32 57,872 1,491,724
33 45,031 1,536,755
34 38,911 1,575,666
35 37,823 1,613,489
September 38,311 1,651,800
37 83,767 1,735,567
38 86,931 1,822,498
39 56,299 1,878,797
October 50,618 1,929,415
41 46,141 1,975,556
42 33,226 2,008,782
43 51,689 2,060,471
November 37,693 2,098,164
45 32,347 2,130,511
46 40,573 2,171,084
47 51,781 2,222,865
48 76,125 2,298,990
December 113,152 2,412,142
50 149,426 2,561,568
51 203,231 2,764,799
52 107,484 2,872,283

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2016 PlayStation 4 vs. 2024 PlayStation 5 Comparison

Week/Month  16'PS4 - Weekly '16 PS4 - Yearly '24 PS5 - Weekly '24 PS5 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 37,474 37,474 41,126 41,126 +3,652 +3,652
2 26,102 63,576 36,506 77,632 +10,404 +14,056
3 24,821 88,397 57,903 135,535 +33,082 +47,138
4 32,667 121,064 49,945 185,480 +17,278 +64,416
5 31,740 152,804 34,484 219,964 +2,744 +67,160
February 26,451 179,255 40,745 260,709 +14,294 +81,454
7 28,667 207,922 38,212 298,921 +9,545 +90,999
8 26,405 234,327 33,504 332,425 +7,099 +98,098
9 28,232 262,559 48,067 380,492 +19,835 +117,933
March 27,093 289,652 39,064 419,556 +11,971 +129,904
11 27,829 317,481 26,516 446,072 -1,313 +128,591
12 35,552 353,033 27,788 473,860 -7,764 +120,827
13 32,259 385,292 20,846 494,706 -11,413 +109,414
April 23,408 408,700 24,976 519,682 +1,568 +110,982
15 20,567 429,267 20,941 540,623 +374 +111,356
16 20,631 449,898 21,297 561,920 +666 +112,022
17 28,104 478,002
May 24,641 502,643
19 22,679 525,322
20 18,604 543,926
21 24,214 568,140
June 22,552 590,692
23 18,907 609,599
24 19,372 628,971
25 21,539 650,510
26 24,390 674,900
July 22,250 697,150
28 21,579 718,729
29 20,223 738,952
30 22,051 761,003
August 18,687 779,690
32 19,401 799,091
33 19,602 818,693
34 18,077 836,770
35 17,105 853,875
September 15,455 869,330
37 96,387 965,717
38 49,381 1,015,098
39 42,470 1,057,568
October 35,917 1,093,485
41 35,022 1,128,507
42 36,776 1,165,283
43 41,278 1,206,561
November 41,614 1,248,175
45 103,352 1,351,527
46 47,375 1,398,902
47 51,079 1,449,981
48 128,157 1,578,138
December 105,990 1,684,128
50 87,026 1,771,154
51 114,390 1,885,544
52 97,955 1,983,499

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2011 XBOX 360 vs. 2024 Xbox Series Comparison

Week/Month '11 XB360 - Weekly '11 XB360 - Yearly '24 XBSX - Weekly '24 XBSX - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 4,373 4,373 697 697 -3,676 -3,676
2 2,913 7,286 1,164 1,861 -1,749 -5,425
3 2,931 10,217 1,888 3,749 -1,043 -6,468
4 3,608 13,825 3,905 7,654 +297 -6,171
5 2,590 16,415 3,177 10,831 +587 -5,584
February 2,628 19,043 3,093 13,924 +465 -5,119
7 2,561 21,604 1,647 15,571 -914 -6,033
8 4,918 26,522 3,113 18,684 -1,805 -7,838
9 2,380 28,902 2,351 21,035 -29 -7,867
March 1,943 30,845 3,746 24,781 +1,803 -6,064
11 1,339 32,184 1,496 26,277 +157 -5,907
12 1,620 33,804 1,360 27,637 -260 -6,167
13 1,615 35,419 1,376 29,013 -239 -6,406
April 1,943 37,362 2,113 31,126 +170 -6,236
15 1,918 39,280 2,616 33,742 +698 -5,538
16 1,871 41,151 2,789 36,531 +918 -4,620
17 3,702 44,853
May 3,213 48,066
19 2,707 50,773
20 2,021 52,794
21 2,123 54,917
June 2,080 56,997
23 1,972 58,969
24 2,697 61,666
25 2,023 63,689
26 2,080 65,769
July 1,983 67,752
28 1,675 69,427
29 1,551 70,978
30 1,804 72,782
August 1,450 74,232
32 1,743 75,975
33 1,278 77,253
34 1,177 78,430
35 1,039 79,469
September 983 80,452
37 1,052 81,504
38 3,926 85,430
39 2,072 87,502
October 1,438 88,940
41 1,905 90,845
42 1,555 92,400
43 1,649 94,049
November 1,616 95,665
45 1,582 97,247
46 1,799 99,046
47 1,667 100,713
48 1,631 102,344
December 3,039 105,383
50 3,193 108,576
51 4,075 112,651
52 2,308 114,959

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Last edited by XtremeBG - 2 days ago

My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts

Around the Network
Bofferbrauer2 on 31 December 2023

Aaand subscribed!



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

hellobion2 on 02 January 2024

PS5 show no mercy do not hesitate. Defeat the Nintendo we must.



BiON!@ 

Eagle367 on 07 January 2024

Nippon showdown



Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also

Qwark on 08 January 2024

PS5 will lose all its battles I fear



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

Around the Network
Shtinamin_ on 08 January 2024

Im very excited. Here are my predictions:

Switch will sell more than PS5.

  • Switch 3.5M
  • PS5 3.3M

Switch beats NDS'10 & 3DS'17

PS5 does not beat PSP'08 but does beat PSP'10

XBOX Series does not beat XBOX 360'08 but does beat XBOX 360'11

  • XBOX Series 170k


Also I think the head to head graphs are a bit Playstation biased but that is fun. Competition is fun. I might be a bit Nintendo bias with my prediction but I have faith in Nintendo (and rather logical stats to back it up).
Let's go Switch! Give it your best!



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

XtremeBG on 08 January 2024
Shtinamin_ said:


Also I think the head to head graphs are a bit Playstation biased but that is fun. Competition is fun. I might be a bit Nintendo bias with my prediction but I have faith in Nintendo (and rather logical stats to back it up).
Let's go Switch! Give it your best!

There is no bias here. The comparisons are made from what is the natural way of continuing the sales from 2023 according to every console life and performance to date. If PS underperforms I will of course change it's competitor to weaker one. If Switch is better than it's competitors, I can change it as well. But the chances of Switch making more than 3M this year giving the big declines in Japan lately is not very likely.

For PS5 the most likely period of doing more than it's 2023, is now - 2024, when the Switch 2 won't be a factor for the most of the year, and where there won't be big competition (as Switch sales for example the last few years). That's why it's only natural for the PS5 to be able to reach higher numbers than it's 2023. Again if it fails I can and will change it's comparison accordingly.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts

Norion on 08 January 2024
Shtinamin_ said:

Im very excited. Here are my predictions:

Switch will sell more than PS5.

  • Switch 3.5M
  • PS5 3.3M

Switch beats NDS'10 & 3DS'17

PS5 does not beat PSP'08 but does beat PSP'10

There's no way the PS5 is beating the PSP'10, let alone getting to 3.3m. With pent up demand fulfilled and it getting a price increase everything points to it being down this year. It'll be surprising if it sells more than 2m again considering the PS4 never did that.



XtremeBG on 08 January 2024

Okay, maybe there is a point here. I changed the PS comparison to:

  • PlayStation 5 vs PSP'06 (1.85M) vs PSP'07 (3.05M)

Let's see if PS5 will have tough time this year reaching 3M in Japan, and low target - 1.85M.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts

Norion on 08 January 2024
XtremeBG said:

Okay, maybe there is a point here. I changed the PS comparison to:

  • PlayStation 5 vs PSP'06 (1.85M) vs PSP'07 (3.05M)

Let's see if PS5 will have tough time this year reaching 3M in Japan, and low target - 1.85M.

That definitely makes more sense. I expect it'll be similar to the former.