Surely the PS5. I see no way the Switch does over 16m this year and the PS5 should for sure do better than that. People voting for Switch need to look at the recent Japan sales and keep in mind that them being close there currently means the PS5 will be selling a lot more than the Switch worldwide right now. Hell the former sold twice as much as it did in the UK this January compared to last year so it's starting the year strong for sure.

PS5. Probably by a wide margin (5 million+).

Not questioning your choice, which is reasonable.  But, based on the very specific and very wide margin you decided to add to it, what are your predictions for PS5 and Switch sales for the year?  For a gap of over 5 million between the two, it looks like you're expecting 19-20 million for PS5 (better than any PS4 year), and/or a total crash of Switch sales despite Nintendo still having big software releases coming, no successor hinted at (not so much as a codename) and Nintendo announcing an increase in Switch production this year.

Just because last week Ps5 surpassed Switch in Japan, just wait for 1 month and then compare

I think Switch can sneak in one more victory if it gets a revision and/or price cut.

Otherwise PS5 should be able to win. Either way, it wont be by much from either 2.

Switch would probably need a price cut and a revision to keep up. PS5 will be beastin’.

The 2 of them seem very unrealistic, especially the price cut, but, there are still believers.

And PS5 stock started strong in 2023.

Obviously the PS5.

I predict a minimum of 20-22 million PS5's sold this year. I think PS5 will be a much more popular platform than PS4 ever was:

1. PS4 shipped 2.3 million units for the quarter. Sony forecasts around 6.2 million PS5's for the same quarter. Note that there is also a 1.6 million gap between PS5's shipped and sold through by the start of 2023. Even if Sony fails to meet their target by over a million, PS5's YTD would still already be ahead by a significant margin.
2. Pent up demand.
3. The Last of Us and Gran Turismo getting sales bumps from the TV series, PSVR2, and improved stock.
4. The Last of Us Factions 2 potentially coming this year.
5. PS5 revision reportedly coming in September, with 18.5 million units planned by the end of the fiscal year (plus 12 million older PS5's produced from March onward).
6. I expect Sony to push the cheaper SKU (be it Digital Edition or "Discless") not long after production exceeds demand. They could also opt to reduce bundles, bringing the entry price down.
7. A possible pricecut (revert to the original pricing outside the US).
8. Spider-Man 2 launch. And strong legs from their existing lineup. Sony's first party support in the first half of PS4's life was quite weak. Their PS5 lineup is on another level. They're a lot bigger now.
9. A huge marketing campaign to maximize sales.
10. PS5 may ship 18-19 million consoles for FY 2022 despite the poor first half. It's pretty much impossible for the calendar year sell through to not beat that figure.

Though it goes without saying there is a number of concerns and unforeseen circumstances that may outweigh these points. But I think the demand and hype remain absolutely huge, so if Sony can ship even 25 million, they will likely sell all of them in most regions.

I think the Switch will win if this Bloomberg report is true. I suspect there may be a price cut which will increase sales.