Definitely less than 7m. It will do well to sell half that amount.

Considering this year will have a vastly superior software output for it after it being abysmal last year it should be up though I expect the first half of 2023 to be not good since momentum is clearly bad for it currently and Starfield is still at least a few months away. I'll go with a bit over 10m and it'll probably be the peak year so the only one above 10m.

tbf, most thought Starfield, Redfall, and Forza Motorsport were going to release last year so that certainly plays into it. 

Went with the 13.0-13.9 range. Reduced shortage issues leading to more of the desirable Series X to go around should boost numbers. Oh, and let's not forget the games. Finally going to get some of those. I think the peak year/s will be 2024 or 2025.

Forza and Redfall don't seem to me like the kind of games that will push huge numbers of people to run out and buy a new console.
Starfield does potentially, but only if it is very well received. Just being good won't cut it, it needs to be great.

With the new numbers things are looking less positive for Xbox than when I first posted. I will let my prediction stand for now, but like sales it may get a downward adjustment.

Are we expecting Starfield to be bundled with the Xbox. And do we expect it to be a system seller. I think the Series S being bundled? Actually I'm wrong, Starfield may be on the box but I think the S will ship with a $1 first month Game Sub.

It definitely has the potential to be a system seller, but I think a lot will hinge on how it is received. If it's seen as disappointing or merely okay/good, that won't inspire many people to drop hundreds of dollars on a new system.

On the other hand, if it's regarded as great, I can see it pushing hardware.

I'm not sure Redfall could ever be a 'system seller', but I do think it's the potential sleeper hit of the year; if that's the case, and because it's a game that promotes a lot of co-op and social interaction, the positive word-of-mouth would spread fast. That would at least be a great start for Xbox reversing the momentum of their current image-- that there's literally nothing worth playing outside smaller passion projects and whatever Gamepass tosses out for the peasants.

When I thought you 12 million prediction for PS5 was bad, you come here with a 3.5 million for Xbox. Like... how even?

Never in the History a console dropped by over 65% in its third year 

It's just absurd. Not going to happen. It needs to drop to a sub 60k average weekly sales during the whole year, followed by a 1 million copies in Christmas season. You cannot be serious

Xbox didn't really have good exclusives last year, which hampered it's sales somewhat. As such, I expect a bit higher sales this year, around 10M-12M