Machina said:
These are my thoughts pretty much. I don't think Redfall is pushing any sales at all though, but Starfield could - providing it's received more like say Fallout 4 than Fallout 76. Not growing YoY at this stage would bode poorly - that was Xbox One's trajectory (peaked in its second full year) - especially when the first few years were hobbled by shortages. There is a risk of that happening, but I am still expecting growth. My vote is 10-11 million (more 10 than 11!). |
I'm not sure Redfall could ever be a 'system seller', but I do think it's the potential sleeper hit of the year; if that's the case, and because it's a game that promotes a lot of co-op and social interaction, the positive word-of-mouth would spread fast. That would at least be a great start for Xbox reversing the momentum of their current image-- that there's literally nothing worth playing outside smaller passion projects and whatever Gamepass tosses out for the peasants.