By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Switch sales expectations for 2023

 

Unit sales (million) of Switch in 2023?

11M or less 7 5.83%
 
12M 3 2.50%
 
13M 3 2.50%
 
14M 4 3.33%
 
15M 19 15.83%
 
16M 15 12.50%
 
17M 20 16.67%
 
18M 27 22.50%
 
19M 6 5.00%
 
20M or more 16 13.33%
 
Total:120
Kakadu18 on 25 July 2022

16-18mil. Voted for 17mil.
Not expecting a new model or new console announcement.



Around the Network
xMetroid on 25 July 2022

The decline for this year will slow down in the second half. It won't have the OLED but even with that the sales were pretty disappointing in fall/holidays. Like some said, it will depend on how much they want to keep the sales going vs keeping the same price tag. I'm not worried on the first party output when you know XC3 was sat on for a year and so are other titles for this year, i doubt there will just be a hole next year. Many teams haven't released in a while.



Pemalite on 25 July 2022
UnderwaterFunktown said:

I voted for 17 mil, but it depends on a lot of factors.

Next year could be a good time for them to do a price-cut if they really wanted to keep up as strong sales as possible for the last few years, but despite that I honestly doubt that they will given the state of the global economy and such. They've already held off that price-cut so long since they didn't really need it, that at this point the Switch might simply not see any real price-cuts at all.

Another possible factor is whether they announce the sucessor during next year (for a release in the first half of 2024) but personally I doubt that. I don't think they would have announced 2 whole years of Mario Kart 8 DLC from early 2022 to late 2023 if the sucessor was planned for right after that. And they have of course many times stated that the Switch will have a longer lifecycle than usual. 8 years (2017-2025) seems plausible to me, though I doubt they would stretch it further than that.

If they keep the price the same, then we essentially will be getting a price cut due to inflation.

Which is the issue that I see holding any price cuts for any consoles back... Inflation, it's a world-wide issue at the moment.



--::{PC Gaming Master Race}::--

The_Liquid_Laser on 25 July 2022

We don't totally know where Switch will end this year, although we probably have a good ball park. I voted 17m, although anything in the 15-19m range wouldn't surprise me.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

Doctor_MG on 25 July 2022

I honestly think 15M is where the Switch would land.

Here is how I see the future:
2022: 19-21M ~ 122M total
2023: 14-16M ~ 137M total
2024: 9-11M ~ 147M total
Then 6-8M after for 154M total lifetime



Around the Network
Norion on 25 July 2022

Assuming no price cut 15-17m. I could see higher if it continues doing really well in Europe next year.



siebensus4 on 25 July 2022
mZuzek said:

Either way I feel like it will be the last big year for the Switch, and sales are going to decline faster afterward.

I actually thought this would already be the case in 2022. But I can't find any reasons why Nintendo should abandon Switch anytime soon.

If 2022 will be another 20M year, then we should see good first party support also next year and probably even 2024.



ShadowLink93 on 26 July 2022

If we are going by calendar year shipments then so far switch has sold 14.86m, 17.41m, 20.21m, 27.39m and 23.67m. 2022 will be 21m to 22m and 2023 could realistically be 17m to 18m, i think it is clear that NSW will not die off quickly like previous Nintendo hardware has.

Calendar Year Shipments

Last edited by ShadowLink93 - on 26 July 2022

S.Peelman on 26 July 2022

Let’s say 18M.



UnderwaterFunktown on 26 July 2022
Pemalite said:
UnderwaterFunktown said:

I voted for 17 mil, but it depends on a lot of factors.

Next year could be a good time for them to do a price-cut if they really wanted to keep up as strong sales as possible for the last few years, but despite that I honestly doubt that they will given the state of the global economy and such. They've already held off that price-cut so long since they didn't really need it, that at this point the Switch might simply not see any real price-cuts at all.

Another possible factor is whether they announce the sucessor during next year (for a release in the first half of 2024) but personally I doubt that. I don't think they would have announced 2 whole years of Mario Kart 8 DLC from early 2022 to late 2023 if the sucessor was planned for right after that. And they have of course many times stated that the Switch will have a longer lifecycle than usual. 8 years (2017-2025) seems plausible to me, though I doubt they would stretch it further than that.

If they keep the price the same, then we essentially will be getting a price cut due to inflation.

Which is the issue that I see holding any price cuts for any consoles back... Inflation, it's a world-wide issue at the moment.

In a way yeah, though unfortunatly it's not like most people really have more money to spend, so 300$ doesn't really feel like less now than a year ago. But it definitely does reduce the chance of an actual price-cut.



Try out my free game on Steam

2024 OpenCritic Prediction Leagues:

Nintendo | PlayStation | Multiplat