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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS5 and XS Sales Are Nearly Tied - Global Hardware June 5-11

ShadowLink93 said:

The Switch seems to be averaging around 280K a week since the start of April, sometimes a little more and sometimes a little less. The quarter is almost over so 280K will likely remain the average. Over a 13 week period 280K a week will convert into 3.64 million which would be a decent total for FYQ1 and be in line with meeting Nintendo's target of 21 million for the full FY. To meet their target Switch needs to sell around 3.66m per non holiday quarter and 10m for the holiday quarter. Also I think PS5 will struggle to reach that 18 million target unless things change, if Switch sells 21 million then PS5 needs to sell an average of 86% per week of what Switch sells to reach 18 million and that is not happening at the moment. Maybe things will pick up for the PS5 in FYQ2.

Things have already changed compared to a month ago and sony has stated production is due to ramp up



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Glad to see both consoles doing well. There is going to be huge demand as the supply situation improves.

As far as I'm aware, the Series X/S is currently tracking better than the Xbox One at this time if I'm correct? Haven't checked this however.



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

As long as the PS5 does way better from September-December this year compared to 2021, I think Sony will meet their 18m units proyection.



barneystinson69 said:

Glad to see both consoles doing well. There is going to be huge demand as the supply situation improves.

As far as I'm aware, the Series X/S is currently tracking better than the Xbox One at this time if I'm correct? Haven't checked this however.

Yep, it's about three million ahead of the Xbox One currently and it shouldn't be that long till it's over five ahead.



curl-6 said:

PS5 at least will definitely pass 80 million. Heck, it will most likely pass 100 million.



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Switch now less than 8 million away from overtaking the PS4.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
PaulPortland said:

Damn!!! At this rate, XS nor PS5 won't be able to reach 80M of consoles... At least this gen hang on about 10 years...

About Switch, well, it is on its track... Congratulations for Nintendo.

PS5 and XS aren't going to continue at this pace forever; sales will pick up as supply improves, especially for PS5 as it doesn't have the benefit of a Series S equivalent. A longer generation is also a strong possibility due to the companies wanting to recoup their losses.

PS5 at least will definitely pass 80 million. Heck, it will most likely pass 100 million.

PS5 is struggling at the moment but it will pick up and still sell 100m+. Demand is there and even the trainweck PS3 with all it's problems (initially) still got to 87 million. I think Playstation home consoles have to do something seriously wrong not to sell 100 million because the brand is so strong.



Otter said:

Things have already changed compared to a month ago and sony has stated production is due to ramp up

I expect PS5 to easily outperform the year just past but going from 11.5m to 18m is a huge jump in production (57%), perhaps 15m to 16m would have been a more realistic target. PS5 has to do slightly better than PS4's FY 2015-16 (below) of 17.7m, so around 3.33m each for the regular quarters and 8m for the Q3 holiday is what is needed. I don't think Q1 will get to 3m maybe only 2.5m.

Last edited by ShadowLink93 - on 21 June 2022

I think barring a much longer generation that anyone was anticipating (think 10 years or more, which would be unprecedented), the PS5 will sell between 100 million and 110 million consoles lifetime, which is right in line with the historical average for the brand (about 115 million consoles per generation).


As much as I think that Xbox’s resurgence in the Americas/The anglosphere is real, the PlayStation brand is simply too powerful in continental Europe and Asia for Sony to have to be seriously worried about missing that 100 million target.



I will be stunned if the ps5 doesn't sell more than 80 million. I think people are extrapolating current sales and are not accounting for massive stock issues.