Hold up, the Switch sold over 600k in February alone? That's bonkers

zero covid effect for sony and Microsoft?

Well you do know what happened to people predicting peaks for the Switch, right ?

No, that's only for Nintendo and for 2020

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-15/nintendo-is-said-to-target-record-year-in-switch-game-sales

This year will be fun to watch.

They fell off a cliff?

Last year had only one big system seller all year (albeit a gargantuan one) in Animal Crossing, and no big holiday games. This year now that their operations seems to be returning to normality, we'll have the Pokémon Diamond/Pearl remakes, plus probably another heavy hitter yet to be confirmed, on top of the heavily rumored Pro revision. 

It's by no means out of the question of Switch's 2021 to outsell its 2020, both in NPD and globally, provided the second half of the year has a strong lineup, the revisions comes as expected, and supply isn't too constrained.

Gotta keep in mind that Switch's numbers through out May - August were supply constrained last year, sounds like they scaled production for this year and the production targets for the FY are likely to be higher than 30 million that are likely to be produced until the end of March. Despite the lack of a game with the caliber of New Horizon - we have Bowser's Fury, Monster Hunter Rise, Pokemon Snap, Mario Golf, Rune Factory 5, Bravely Default 2, Olive Town, Skyward Sword HD, Miitopia, SMT V, Monster Hunter Stories 2, Samurai Warriors 5, Fall Guys, Apex Legends launching World Wide. Top those off with Japanese specific games like Baseball Spirits, Shin Kun or indies like Silksong and up until July there is enough titles to surpass the impact of New Horizon.

This is just looking at games likely to release before August, there is surely a few titles yet to be revealed for Obon period in Japan - July/August. So New Horizon effect will be negated by the following months with ease.

The big question mark remains September to December - Pro, Pokemon Remakes, a major fall title aligned with the Pro launch(Breath of the Wild 2), Third Party Pro exclusives - last year because of the demand in September & October - Nintendo had an average result in November. This year if we have two major Nintendo/Pokemon games in the fall, coupled with the Pro launch.. well we should be seeing the Switch's peak in terms of both SW & HW performance not just in NA but the World.

Interesting. thanks for the info