4-5m is a good estimate since it has a lot of praise, hype and its pedigree!

How much TLOU2 will sell first week? | |||
| 0-1M | 1 | 1.39% | |
| 1.1-2M | 2 | 2.78% | |
| 2.1-3M | 6 | 8.33% | |
| 3.1-4M | 20 | 27.78% | |
| 4.1-5M | 16 | 22.22% | |
| 5.1-6M | 15 | 20.83% | |
| 6.1-7M | 3 | 4.17% | |
| 7.1-8M | 0 | 0% | |
| 8.1-9M | 1 | 1.39% | |
| 9.1-10M | 8 | 11.11% | |
| Total: | 72 | ||
4-5m is a good estimate since it has a lot of praise, hype and its pedigree!

96 on meta, huge hype and the last established franchise exclusive released for the PS4.... IMO it could break 5 million FW and 15million+ lifetime on this platform alone.
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| StokedUp said: When we say the first week do we mean the first 7 days (Friday to thursday) or the first week in which it's released so Friday to Saturday 2 days? |
It usually is the weekend the game launched. When we get reports they usually mention like that. Sure some will say "sold this many on the first 5 or 7 days", but on VGC when we say first week we mean in sales calendar so it could be anything from 1 to 7 days (and won't make much difference since the bulky of first week is pre-order).

duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
DonFerrari said:
It usually is the weekend the game launched. When we get reports they usually mention like that. Sure some will say "sold this many on the first 5 or 7 days", but on VGC when we say first week we mean in sales calendar so it could be anything from 1 to 7 days (and won't make much difference since the bulky of first week is pre-order). |
Yeah. Just like the film box office.


Spider-Man currently holds the record for PS4 exclusive launch at 3,3 mil in the first week. I definitely expect this to top that though I don't think it will completely shatter the record either. I'm going with 4,1 mil.
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