javi741 said:
Well happy my prediction aged pretty well |
Remind us to bump this again in 2030.
javi741 said:
Well happy my prediction aged pretty well |
Remind us to bump this again in 2030.
With a few exceptions, did anybody expect such a Switch success? I sure didn't. Frankly I thought it would be 30-40 million, back when it was announced. The Switch has been crazy.
Chrkeller said: With a few exceptions, did anybody expect such a Switch success? I sure didn't. Frankly I thought it would be 30-40 million, back when it was announced. The Switch has been crazy. |
i called the switch before it was even announced
"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007
Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions
Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.
Chrkeller said: With a few exceptions, did anybody expect such a Switch success? I sure didn't. Frankly I thought it would be 30-40 million, back when it was announced. The Switch has been crazy. |
I remember being completely wowed by the very first trailer and seeing that you could be playing a game like Breath of the Wild at home on your tv, and then pick it up and carry it out the door with you and continue the game with no break in the gameplay. No need to have a device left powered on in your house all day. No need to run the game through a secondary device that needs to be connected to the internet, etc. My prediction from around that time, I think, was at least 80 million.
Anyway, there's a huge difference between being skeptical of the Switch's success at first announcement, compared to a firm belief that Switch sales were going to drop off a cliff in late 2019. The subject of the OP is a report released in September of 2019.
For a short second I thought this was a new thread lol.
This "analyst" thinks the DS and Gameboy are not only not consoles but also not even video game systems at all. Am I allowed to call them retard?
This "analyst" didn't understand what made the Switch appealing and popular and didn't understand why the 3DS sold less than the DS. They said the 3DS sold 75mil in the smartphone era which clearly shows they thought portable gaming was going to die because of smartphones. This shows me that layman armchair analysts on video game forums are in more cases than I thought as knowledgeable or more knowledgeable than professionals.
Last edited by Kakadu18 - on 15 December 2021Note to Self & Everyone: If there's an article that believes that Switch sales will be limited due to competition of smartphone games and irrelevant competitors like Google & Apple, that's when you know you should stop reading that article... I'm tired of media outlets who don't know anything about why the Switch is successful keep claiming that Nintendo will need to deal with competition from the mobile market. Literally no one goes "i dont need a switch cause mobile gaming is better"
Still not going to make it. That cliff is coming!
Chrkeller said: With a few exceptions, did anybody expect such a Switch success? I sure didn't. Frankly I thought it would be 30-40 million, back when it was announced. The Switch has been crazy. |
I have to go into my archives, but pretty sure I guessed around 40 million as well at first. Then I upped it to around 80 million. Now I dont make predictions anymore lol.
Yikes, this was a very wrong take. Switch is currently tracking 140 million on the low end and 160 million on the high end.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 151 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million)
PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 57 million (was 60 million, then 67 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima
kirby007 said:
i called the switch before it was even announced |
But did it answer or were you already on it's blocked numbers.
Research shows Video games help make you smarter, so why am I an idiot