The PS4 is struggling to have decent legs at its current price point, and soon the PS3 will overtake it launch aligned. In addition, the PS4 will have its legs cut when the PS5 releases much like the PS3 did. Generally the January- March period is important for PS sales and it is already down 240k YoY. A price promotion in Feb/ March plus FF7 would have been great, but FF7 was delayed.

The only way for ps4 to reach 10 million is if it has a permanent price drop which im sure it will. Eventually they can still make a profit selling it for $200. History says PlayStation system will have a price drop the year its successor launches or right after

Makes no financial sense. PS4 is making Sony billions at the current margins. Money is needed for the launch of new hardware. PS4 is already on a trajectory to sell 120-130 million.

No need to cut price and loose money just to gain a slight percent of usebrase on an old system. PS4 will get a cut if Sony finds better margins (they might have) or if they want to put it out as a low cost alternative to PS5.

There is nothing delusional about 9.5 million being the PS4 LTD. 

Tlou2 may be the biggest game, how many will buy the console just for that game who didn't buy it already for the first one? Probably not too many, as most people interested into that game already own the console to play the predecessor.

Maybe a few who played the ps3 version waiting for it to release to buy a ps4? We know for sure sony will market the hell out of it so people who thinking about buying a ps4 might be interested even though they havent played the 1st yet

9.5m isn't the higher sales predictions...

First, your ps4 needs a price cut. When? Next year? When ps5 come out? Or never?

Not in Japan

I don't see PS5 hitting 10m in Japan tbh the current era now pretty much goes against it with the declining sales with not much else that sways the region to stop that, FFVIIR won't give as much a boost as people think and even then it will be for like one week then it's back to square one the other games don't really interest Japanese gamers that much to cause any kind of stir while Sony aren't looking like they'll cut the price at this point it'll require more than a price cut regardless as the issue is more underlying than that the platform just isn't appealing as much to the region as people expected after PS5 releases the weekly sales will drop even more meaning any legs would have to put in even more work and I don't see it having enough time to make up for the drop.

With the direction Sony is going, I don't even the PS4 hitting 10 million, let alone the PS5.

Playstation consoles in Japan are hitting a decline, while the PS5 will for sure get titles like Monster Hunter World 2 and Final Fantasy Vii Remake Part 2 that will sale a lot of systems, its gonna be a massive up hill battle as Sony continues to more and more focus on the west. Hell I wouldn't be surprised if the PS5's first week sales in Japan are lower then that of the PS4's first week sales in Japan.

With Animal Crossing having its third week on the market, and the coronavirus overall impact on the market, I would not be shocked in the least if the week FFVii released the PS4 is still not at the number 1 spot, considering Final Fantasy seems to be one of those Japanese series that are in a sales wise decline over in Japan.

Yeah PS5 is gonna be facing an uphill battle in Japan I reckon. Not to say it can't succeed of course, but the shift towards the greater flexibility offered by Switch and mobile, plus Sony's focus on more Western games in recent generations will put it as a disadvantage out of the gate. Whether it can rise above this challenge remains to be seen.