The sales keep dropping harder and harder, "average 10k for the next 2 years" is almost a dream, more like average 6-7k for the next 2 years, and 10 - 15k for 1-2 weeks of ff7, the last of us 2, ghost of tsushima, permanent price drop and holidays. PS4 is a home console, not a portable, also, P5R already came out since last year and ps4 sales number didn't even reach 10k in that week.
Its been averaging 13k this year without any major title released. And if you think ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 or the last of us 2 week you will be in for a shock. It will sell at least 50k during ff7 and tlou2 launch week
In the first 10 week of 2020 PS4 averaged about 12.8K per week.
However the first week was a holiday week and accounted for more than 45% of PS4 yearly sales until now.
The average of the past 9 weeks is about 7.8K per week.
The best way to predict roughly around where PS4 could/should fall as end 2021 is by guessing the yearly declines for 2020 and 2021 IMO.
My guess is that at the end of 2021 PS4 total HW sales will be around 10M (could be a bit lower or a bit higher).
I expect PS4 to ultimately sell less consoles than PS3 in Japan.
Last edited by Endymion - on 12 March 2020