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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: W10, 2020 (Mar 02 - Mar 08)

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HoangNhatAnh said:
Pinkie_pie said:

Care to explain why you arent sure it can average 10k for the next 2 years? Ps4 will sell at least 7k weekly. There will be few boost here and there with persona 5 royal, ff7, the last of us 2, ghost of tsushima, permanent price drop, holidays, promotion and so on.

The sales keep dropping harder and harder, "average 10k for the next 2 years" is almost a dream, more like average 6-7k for the next 2 years, and 10 - 15k for 1-2 weeks of ff7, the last of us 2, ghost of tsushima, permanent price drop and holidays. PS4 is a home console, not a portable, also, P5R already came out since last  year and ps4 sales number didn't even reach 10k in that week.

https://www.gematsu.com/2019/11/famitsu-sales-10-28-19-11-3-19

Its been averaging 13k this year without any major title released. And if you think ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 or the last of us 2 week you will be in for a shock. It will sell at least 50k during ff7 and tlou2 launch week



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Pinkie_pie said:
HoangNhatAnh said:

The sales keep dropping harder and harder, "average 10k for the next 2 years" is almost a dream, more like average 6-7k for the next 2 years, and 10 - 15k for 1-2 weeks of ff7, the last of us 2, ghost of tsushima, permanent price drop and holidays. PS4 is a home console, not a portable, also, P5R already came out since last  year and ps4 sales number didn't even reach 10k in that week.

https://www.gematsu.com/2019/11/famitsu-sales-10-28-19-11-3-19

Its been averaging 13k this year without any major title released. And if you think ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 or the last of us 2 week you will be in for a shock. It will sell at least 50k during ff7 and tlou2 launch week

You also said this for Persona 5 Royal



Pinkie_pie said:
HoangNhatAnh said:

The sales keep dropping harder and harder, "average 10k for the next 2 years" is almost a dream, more like average 6-7k for the next 2 years, and 10 - 15k for 1-2 weeks of ff7, the last of us 2, ghost of tsushima, permanent price drop and holidays. PS4 is a home console, not a portable, also, P5R already came out since last  year and ps4 sales number didn't even reach 10k in that week.

https://www.gematsu.com/2019/11/famitsu-sales-10-28-19-11-3-19

Its been averaging 13k this year without any major title released. And if you think ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 or the last of us 2 week you will be in for a shock. It will sell at least 50k during ff7 and tlou2 launch week

In the first 10 week of 2020 PS4 averaged about 12.8K per week.

However the first week was a holiday week and accounted for more than 45% of PS4 yearly sales until now.

The average of the past 9 weeks is about 7.8K per week.

The best way to predict roughly around where PS4 could/should fall as end 2021 is by guessing the yearly declines for 2020 and 2021 IMO.

My guess is that at the end of 2021 PS4 total HW sales will be around 10M (could be a bit lower or a bit higher).

I expect PS4 to ultimately sell less consoles than PS3 in Japan.

Last edited by Endymion - on 12 March 2020

Pinkie_pie said:
HoangNhatAnh said:

The sales keep dropping harder and harder, "average 10k for the next 2 years" is almost a dream, more like average 6-7k for the next 2 years, and 10 - 15k for 1-2 weeks of ff7, the last of us 2, ghost of tsushima, permanent price drop and holidays. PS4 is a home console, not a portable, also, P5R already came out since last  year and ps4 sales number didn't even reach 10k in that week.

https://www.gematsu.com/2019/11/famitsu-sales-10-28-19-11-3-19

Its been averaging 13k this year without any major title released. And if you think ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 or the last of us 2 week you will be in for a shock. It will sell at least 50k during ff7 and tlou2 launch week

The only way ps4 sells 50k units ever again is with a price cut or some sort of promotion. Also, I think you might be overestimating TLOU a bit much 



Pinkie_pie said:
Signalstar said:
I don't think PS4 will reach 10 million in Japan at this rate.

It only needs to average 10k per week for the next 2 years to reach 10 million. With ff7 remake, ghost of tsushima and price cut it will easily

Problem is, PS4 needs already a promotion to get above 10k now. Even a 10k Yen pricecut combined with FF7R and GoT won't keep those sales up for long anymore.



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Pinkie_pie said:
HoangNhatAnh said:

The sales keep dropping harder and harder, "average 10k for the next 2 years" is almost a dream, more like average 6-7k for the next 2 years, and 10 - 15k for 1-2 weeks of ff7, the last of us 2, ghost of tsushima, permanent price drop and holidays. PS4 is a home console, not a portable, also, P5R already came out since last  year and ps4 sales number didn't even reach 10k in that week.

https://www.gematsu.com/2019/11/famitsu-sales-10-28-19-11-3-19

Its been averaging 13k this year without any major title released. And if you think ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 or the last of us 2 week you will be in for a shock. It will sell at least 50k during ff7 and tlou2 launch week

You think The Last of Us Part II, as great of a game its anticipated to be, can create enough movement in Japan to boost PS4 sales above 15K?

Although the first game did relatively well with how it was in Japan, its a completely different climate now. Animal Crossing is dominating COMG charts by a mile compared to even FF7 Remake, which was arguably the most anticipated game ever according to Famitsu readers. The Switch is THE gaming platform in Japan outside of mobile (and maybe PC).

Last edited by Kai_Mao - on 12 March 2020

HoangNhatAnh said:
Pinkie_pie said:

Its been averaging 13k this year without any major title released. And if you think ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 or the last of us 2 week you will be in for a shock. It will sell at least 50k during ff7 and tlou2 launch week

You also said this for Persona 5 Royal

I didnt say persona 5 royal would give it a huge boost like ff7 or tlou2. I said boost here and there as in small or huge and so on. Persona 5 royal isnt a new game like ff7 remake, tlou2 or ghost of tsushima. Its persona 5 with extra content





Kai_Mao said:
Pinkie_pie said:

Its been averaging 13k this year without any major title released. And if you think ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 or the last of us 2 week you will be in for a shock. It will sell at least 50k during ff7 and tlou2 launch week

You think The Last of Us Part II, as great of a game its anticipated to be, can create enough movement in Japan to boost PS4 sales above 15K?

Although the first game did relatively well with how it was in Japan, its a completely different climate now. Animal Crossing is dominating COMG charts by a mile compared to even FF7 Remake, which was arguably the most anticipated game ever according to Famitsu readers. The Switch is THE gaming platform in Japan outside of mobile (and maybe PC).

Tlou2 will boost ps4 way above 15k. So you also agree with hoang that ps4 will only sell 10-15k during ff7 remake release week?