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Forums - General Discussion - Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

Mnementh said:
Chicho said:

Cases 7711 dead 170 how is that in the Fibonacci sequence?

For yesterday numbers should sit at 12,000 cases. So real numbers are starting to fall back, which means the containment procedures seem to have an effect.

there is also about 12,000 suspected cases (in addition to the 7700 confirmed ones), so while the Fibonacci sequence was based on confirmed cases "reality" might also lag behind due to analysis not being able to keep up with the amount of cases



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Lafiel said:
Mnementh said:

For yesterday numbers should sit at 12,000 cases. So real numbers are starting to fall back, which means the containment procedures seem to have an effect.

there is also about 12,000 suspected cases (in addition to the 7700 confirmed ones), so while the Fibonacci sequence was based on confirmed cases "reality" might also lag behind due to analysis not being able to keep up with the amount of cases

also are they giving us the real numbers or hiding things? another unknown. 



 

 

Hiku said:
Chicho said:

2901 cases and 82 deaths doesn't sound that bad but the number is steadily growing. There are cases being reported ouside of china there are 5 cases now on the us.

Incubation period being a few weeks is a problem. Means people will think they are fine and infect others who also think they are fine and infect others, etc.

By the way, I've wanted to say this for a few months now, but this situation makes it more relevant.
People who sneeze/cough in public without covering their mouths (and I see them all the time) should be forced to go back to kindergarden and learn basic human etiquette.

Go back to scared school.  Bird flu killed millions in early 1900s.  I don't see that shit yet or for awhile.  Actually do the world a favor if it killed billions.  I agree with you though.  You should sneeze or cough into your elbow or lift up your shirt.  If someone ever sneezed or coughed on me directly I would almost wind up my hand and back hand them for proper bitch slap.

Last edited by sethnintendo - on 30 January 2020

Looks like today n-CoV will overtake SARS in numbers of infected people (8096 for SARS, n-CoV currently at 7715 8286 and climbing fast)

Edit: it's done. And I fear there will be more deaths in the end, too.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 30 January 2020

WHO delcares global emergency



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

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Bofferbrauer2 said:

Looks like today n-CoV will overtake SARS in numbers of infected people (8096 for SARS, n-CoV currently at 7715 8286 and climbing fast)

Edit: it's done. And I fear there will be more deaths in the end, too.

It overtook it on confirmed cases but not in dead toll. That stands at 213 Vs 774. Looks like is more infectious but not as deadly. 



SARS killed over the course of a year I believe. This has only been a month. I saw projections that if it continues at current exponential pacing, then after 30 days, 130 million or so will be infected with 23 million or so dead.

It's too early to tell. This thing has a 10 day gestation period that it can spread without symptoms and another 8 days till symptoms get severe, so 18 days before an infected person is at risk of death. That's nearly a month of thinking they are healthy or just have a cold, not taking it seriously. The deaths this week are still from the first wave of infected. Just wait till this 1k+ new infections each day begin having severe symptoms next week. This is going to get worse. I just hope that numbers outside China remain steady, but I'm concerned that it was being spread in other countries before they even knew to watch for it, and now people are out there thinking they just have the flu, but it is really coronavirus.



Confirmed cases are as Vegeta says OVER 9000!! and only 213 dead. Also 187 of the confirmed cases have recovered. Finally we know madagascar and greenland are hard to infect so humanity will survive. We can Calm down.



Chicho said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Looks like today n-CoV will overtake SARS in numbers of infected people (8096 for SARS, n-CoV currently at 7715 8286 and climbing fast)

Edit: it's done. And I fear there will be more deaths in the end, too.

It overtook it on confirmed cases but not in dead toll. That stands at 213 Vs 774. Looks like is more infectious but not as deadly. 

SARS didn't kill everybody in just one month, give it time. Just look at the rate people die: right now, over 30 persons die per day from the virus. Even without new infections, there would be quite a lot of people who still were to die because they are already in a critical state.



Chicho said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Looks like today n-CoV will overtake SARS in numbers of infected people (8096 for SARS, n-CoV currently at 7715 8286 and climbing fast)

Edit: it's done. And I fear there will be more deaths in the end, too.

It overtook it on confirmed cases but not in dead toll. That stands at 213 Vs 774. Looks like is more infectious but not as deadly. 

You don't die on the first day of infection. You have to wait until people get better to say they survived the illness. So confirmed deaths always lag behind confirmed cases a few days (depending on how long it takes to get through the illness). Still, overall it looks like the epedemic is at least somewhat contained.



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