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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales Week 45 Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - November 05- 11, 2018

Eagle367 on 16 November 2018
Keybladewielder said:

KH HD 1.5 + 2.5 returns to the top 20 and is so close to 200k 

Spider-Man above 300k

NoCtiS_NoX said: 

Switch Pac-Man 

Next week's pacman will have it's mouth almost closed. It will be 90%+



Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also

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Miyamotoo on 21 November 2018

Famitsu reported Switch sold 180k while Pokemon 664k.

Its 3rd biggest Switch week, 4th if we count launch week:

-Mar 03 - 05 - 2017 = 329,152
-Dec 18 - 24 - 2017 = 269,684
-Dec 11 - 17 - 2017 = 221,210
-Nov 12 - 18 - 2018 = 180,565



intendo on 21 November 2018
Miyamotoo said:

Famitsu reported Switch sold 180k while Pokemon 664k.

Its 3rd biggest Switch week, 4th if we count launch week:

-Mar 03 - 05 - 2017 = 329,152
-Dec 18 - 24 - 2017 = 269,684
-Dec 11 - 17 - 2017 = 221,210
-Nov 12 - 18 - 2018 = 180,565

thanks for info



nero on 21 November 2018

Jeeeesuuuuss!!



Mnementh on 21 November 2018
Megiddo said:
How many Switch units are people expecting in next week's MC numbers? I'm curious.

I'm guessing about 180,000 personally. Though the Switch has been pretty much always in the 40-60k range this year, so it's hard to get any sort of read on what a massive title release will do.

Wow, absolutely spot on! Incredible! (Although it's Famitsu so far, maybe MC does differ.)

I was wrong with my conservative assumptions.

Last edited by Mnementh - on 21 November 2018

3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

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thismeintiel on 21 November 2018
Megiddo said:

Here is the week 45 update in terms of the two big consoles in Japan's path to be able to reach the commonly stated (in these sales threads) estimates for 2018 sales (2 mil for PS4, 4 mil for Switch) .

  TWS GD YTD % Goal AWN (Change)
PS4 16,081 -66,034 1,359,155 68.0% (+0.8) 91,549 (+9434)
Switch 54,235 -191,483 2,088,488 52.2% (+2.1) 273,355 (+27,355)

TWS - This week's sales
GD - Goal differential, the difference between the average week needed from last week compared to this week's sales
YTD - Units sold in 2018 so far including this week's sales
AWN - Average weekly sales needed to reach the estimate for the console.

At this point, it looks like it's merely a race to see who can get closest to the goal. The Switch would have to sell 400k+ with the Smash/Pokemon bundles in next week's numbers to convince me it has a prayer of reaching its goal. The PS4 has no chance at all. So who can get closest? We'll have a very good idea of Pokemon and Smash's holiday power next week.

~180K. Like you said, neither is reaching their goal. My guess is PS4 comes closer. Unless sales remain steady for the next few weeks, I see Switch missing its goal by 800K-1M. My guess is PS4 misses it by 200K-400K.



 

pikashoe on 21 November 2018
Mnementh said:
Megiddo said:
How many Switch units are people expecting in next week's MC numbers? I'm curious.

I'm guessing about 180,000 personally. Though the Switch has been pretty much always in the 40-60k range this year, so it's hard to get any sort of read on what a massive title release will do.

Wow, absolutely spot on! Incredible! (Although it's Famitsu so far, maybe MC does differ.)

I was wrong with my conservative assumptions.

MC is up and at 200k



Mnementh on 21 November 2018
pikashoe said:
Mnementh said:

Wow, absolutely spot on! Incredible! (Although it's Famitsu so far, maybe MC does differ.)

I was wrong with my conservative assumptions.

MC is up and at 200k

Oh wow, even higher. I was really wrong with my conservative approach. In my defense, I didn't expect the game to review that well and be actually pretty good.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

tak13 on 21 November 2018
Mnementh said:
pikashoe said:

MC is up and at 200k

Oh wow, even higher. I was really wrong with my conservative approach. In my defense, I didn't expect the game to review that well and be actually pretty good.

Most people, including me, underestimated the bundles.

It feels like Nintendo shipped 150k bundles and sold through 146k.

I'm reading that a ns bundle with ssb was also released that week, is that valid?