I said that third party games that have been tailored to the PlayStation audience aren't selling great on Switch. On this week's charts there is the umpteenth Warriors game and yet another Mega Man game; the former shows a large discrepancy between PS4 and Switch, the latter does not.

Nothing here means that most adults are almost exclusively playing Nintendo titles. You have to remember that Switch was expected to fail by third parties, so most of them have yet to bring their A game to the platform. Of course Nintendo titles dominate the early going, because customers put their money towards the best games. Third parties' share of total Switch software sales will increase once they get going, just like in the past for every Nintendo handheld. For the last four Nintendo home consoles it didn't hold true, because third parties couldn't be bothered to properly support the systems in the first place. By now it should be easy enough to tell that Switch will follow the trajectory of a Nintendo handheld, so there's no reason to worry.

Sales expectations need to be kept in check though. If somebody expects Splatoon and Mario Kart numbers from third party games, then they should check Japanese sales data. There aren't many third party IPs that have sold 1m+ copies in the last 35 years and there aren't even all that many that surpass 500k units. What you'll see once third parties get their games on Switch is that the thresholds of 100k, 200k and 300k will be passed quite frequently. Currently there are only few that have already passed 100k, but there have only been few where it could be realistically expected that they'll get there. It's like I always say, games that do not exist cannot sell.

I haven't seen much enthusiasm about Mario Party on Wii U/3DS days.

What do you mean by 'remove the car'?

I think you need to elaborate here, it's by far the best selling console in the country and it's up compared to last year?

Not sure what you were expecting SMP to do to hardware?

Well, is more about the general context, using the small sampling of japan and generalizing. I expected a 33% increase from lastl year, since it sold 15 million in 17 and is projected to sell 20 million this year. 

After a poor Q1, we had to see near to a 4 million Q2, 10 million Q3 and 4 million Q4 to keep up with the projections. 

So, we could expect a steady increase through Q1 to Q2 and Q2 to Q3. But Japan, after a steady season of 50+ weeks and with no major titles, started to sell in the 40s. 

So, it have been dropping the ball compared to itself from 2 month ago, when it was expected to increase instead. 

Ok not strictly talking about Japan I see.

I think going forward 3.5-4M for Q2...

Not really worried yet, in fact I'm still confident in reaching the 20M goal for the fiscal year.

Where is the confidence coming from for 3.5 - 4M in Q2? The average from July through September here on VGchartz for the Switch is right around 200k/week. That's 2.6M over 13 weeks for a quarter, obviously a rough estimate but pretty far from 3.5 - 4M. Is there some reason you think shipments will be that much higher than sales or do you think VGchartz is dramatically off from its Switch hardware estimates?

Where is the confidence coming from for 3.5 - 4M in Q2? The average from July through September here on VGchartz for the Switch is right around 200k/week. That's 2.6M over 13 weeks for a quarter, obviously a rough estimate but pretty far from 3.5 - 4M. Is there some reason you think shipments will be that much higher than sales or do you think VGchartz is dramatically off from its Switch hardware estimates?

Maybe including bundled version or something like that.