jonathanalis said:
Well, is more about the general context, using the small sampling of japan and generalizing. I expected a 33% increase from lastl year, since it sold 15 million in 17 and is projected to sell 20 million this year. After a poor Q1, we had to see near to a 4 million Q2, 10 million Q3 and 4 million Q4 to keep up with the projections. So, we could expect a steady increase through Q1 to Q2 and Q2 to Q3. But Japan, after a steady season of 50+ weeks and with no major titles, started to sell in the 40s. So, it have been dropping the ball compared to itself from 2 month ago, when it was expected to increase instead. |
Ok not strictly talking about Japan I see.
I think going forward 3.5-4M for Q2, 10-11M for Q3 and 4-5 for Q1 are still viable to reach the 20M goal. Not expecting week 1 of Q3 in Japan to tell the entire story. But if we do go by that It did increase ~20% compared to last year and extrapolated for the entire quarter across the globe that would be a shipment of about 8.6M in total. So not up to par yet, but the games that are supposed to drive sales are stll 1-2 months away. I wouldnt worry just yet, especially since October in terms of Japanese sales are among the slowest on the year. It's going to be even more up YoY the next few weeks before SMO released but this years November and December releases wipes the board with 2017.
Not really worried yet, in fact I'm still confident in reaching the 20M goal for the fiscal year.
