Forums - Sales Discussion - How Much Do You Expect the Nintendo Switch to Sell Lifetime?

How Much Do You Expect the Nintendo Switch to Sell Lifetime?

Less Than 35 Million 74 3.83%
 
35-50 Million 155 8.02%
 
51-65 Million 209 10.81%
 
66-80 Million 461 23.85%
 
81-95 Million 448 23.18%
 
96-110 Million 343 17.74%
 
111-125 Million 91 4.71%
 
126-140 Million 47 2.43%
 
141-155 Million 17 0.88%
 
More Than 155 Million 88 4.55%
 
Total:1,933
Miyamotoo said:
IMO still too early to predict, depends from numbers of revisions and how long life span, IMO definatly 80m+, but where could end up really I can't really tell yet, I voted for 81-95 millions option.

Kinda agree with this, still too early, it's a fairly young console.

For the record; I chose the same option, 81-95 million. Interesting that over 80% believe it'll sell 100 million or more, seems like a lot of fairly high expectations for this machine. It has good appeal, but still needs constant attention to maintain momentum, let's give Nintendo at least another two-three quarters to show their mettle and what they have in store for us. Regardless of lifetime sales, I'm glad it's doing well and offering something else, like I said throughout the 7th gen; I dislike complacency being rewarded (in regard to the relatively impressive PS3 and 360 sales).



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Mummelmann said:
Miyamotoo said:
IMO still too early to predict, depends from numbers of revisions and how long life span, IMO definatly 80m+, but where could end up really I can't really tell yet, I voted for 81-95 millions option.

Kinda agree with this, still too early, it's a fairly young console.

For the record; I chose the same option, 81-95 million. Interesting that over 80% believe it'll sell 100 million or more, seems like a lot of fairly high expectations for this machine. It has good appeal, but still needs constant attention to maintain momentum, let's give Nintendo at least another two-three quarters to show their mettle and what they have in store for us. Regardless of lifetime sales, I'm glad it's doing well and offering something else, like I said throughout the 7th gen; I dislike complacency being rewarded (in regard to the relatively impressive PS3 and 360 sales).

For the record I also could easily see 100m+, but for now IMO its too early for such a predictions, IMO for now safe bet is more than 80m.



I can see it barely hitting 80 million. Nintendo consoles tend to have a sharp decline in sales compared to Playstations, I don't think it'll have the legs of PS4.
I'd say it's already had it's peak year in 2017 if you consider it sold what it did in 10 months. I highly doubt it'll sell that much again.



BoseDK said:
I can see it barely hitting 80 million. Nintendo consoles tend to have a sharp decline in sales compared to Playstations, I don't think it'll have the legs of PS4.
I'd say it's already had it's peak year in 2017 if you consider it sold what it did in 10 months. I highly doubt it'll sell that much again.

It will definitely outsell 2017 this year and next. 



Mummelmann said:
Miyamotoo said:
IMO still too early to predict, depends from numbers of revisions and how long life span, IMO definatly 80m+, but where could end up really I can't really tell yet, I voted for 81-95 millions option.

Kinda agree with this, still too early, it's a fairly young console.

For the record; I chose the same option, 81-95 million. Interesting that over 80% believe it'll sell 100 million or more, seems like a lot of fairly high expectations for this machine. It has good appeal, but still needs constant attention to maintain momentum, let's give Nintendo at least another two-three quarters to show their mettle and what they have in store for us. Regardless of lifetime sales, I'm glad it's doing well and offering something else, like I said throughout the 7th gen; I dislike complacency being rewarded (in regard to the relatively impressive PS3 and 360 sales).

I don't know where you take this 80% from, this poll has less than 30% with predictions over 100M. Did you confuse it with the result of the PS4-poll, which is posted in the OP?



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019

Predictions: Switch / Switch vs. XB1 in the US / Three Houses first quarter

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We should definitely run this series of polls about once a year, to see how people's perspective change with time (and more data).

Also, I would love to see the logic behind to less than 35 million votes for Switch and less than 90 million for PS4.



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Slightly below PSP, around 75-80M.



I think about 80M is a good projection until we can be more certain of how long in the market it will be and what models will be counted on it.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Mnementh said:
Mummelmann said:

Kinda agree with this, still too early, it's a fairly young console.

For the record; I chose the same option, 81-95 million. Interesting that over 80% believe it'll sell 100 million or more, seems like a lot of fairly high expectations for this machine. It has good appeal, but still needs constant attention to maintain momentum, let's give Nintendo at least another two-three quarters to show their mettle and what they have in store for us. Regardless of lifetime sales, I'm glad it's doing well and offering something else, like I said throughout the 7th gen; I dislike complacency being rewarded (in regard to the relatively impressive PS3 and 360 sales).

I don't know where you take this 80% from, this poll has less than 30% with predictions over 100M. Did you confuse it with the result of the PS4-poll, which is posted in the OP?

Haha, it seems I did!



Perhaps 70-80 million.