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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

MasonADC said:
Lonely_Dolphin said:
Nah they only said 2018 for Kirby.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cc3PAAije0Y

In the september direct? 

The next time they showed the game was in the January Mini Direct where they told us it's exact release date.

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peachbuggy said:
Something big planned for 1st part of 2019 will help them attain the 20m imo.

If its Animal Crossing. It better be announced in the next direct. And release in March....... but I was hoping it would have been announced at e3 to somehow make this wish more believable.......but now..... its a No..... 



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Lonely_Dolphin said:
MasonADC said:

In the september direct? 

The next time they showed the game was in the January Mini Direct where they told us it's exact release date.

Nope just doubled check. September 13th direct, near the end they gave us the spring 2018 launch



Well, this could be something big:

https://nintendoeverything.com/panic-button-working-on-a-new-major-switch-port-expected-to-be-announced-next-month/



It's possible but they will have to rely a lot on Japan. So it will depend of how well they sell in Japan. I do not see t his pokkemon game doing that great or moving that many consoles in the west. It will also depend on black Friday deals



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MasonADC said:
Lonely_Dolphin said:
The next time they showed the game was in the January Mini Direct where they told us it's exact release date.

Nope just doubled check. September 13th direct, near the end they gave us the spring 2018 launch

Derp my bad. Guess Fire Emblem releasing then is possible, especially if they only delayed it because the soonest it could release would conflict with Pokemon n Smash.

zorg1000 said:
Mnementh said:

I'm aware how holidays drive sales. But still I think they'll fall short. I think Nintendo needs to ramp up to 200K weekly at the end of Q2.

Well if they do ship 10 million over the holiday quarter than they need to average ~3.33 million in the other 3 quarters.

Last year the 3 non-holiday quarters averaged 2.6 million. Q1 only did 1.96 million due to severe production shortages, thats no longer a factor so shipments this quarter should be higher even if sell through is slightly lower.

Also with Pokemon+Smash in Nov/Dec vs Odyssey in Oct last year, it should cause for bigger post-holiday momentum so Q4 should be higher.

 

Even if they miss their target, they should still be pretty close.

Current sales 170K according to VGC. A quarter has 13 weeks. That makes 2.2M, quite a bit lower than your goal of 3.3M. As I said, weekly sales should soon start to improve. Otherwise the holidays have to be spectacular.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Nintendo will not be doing any sales imo, because nintendo does't like to drop the price, unless they have too.



Chorlin said:
Well, this could be something big:

https://nintendoeverything.com/panic-button-working-on-a-new-major-switch-port-expected-to-be-announced-next-month/

Well, that sounds nice. I'm intrigued, Panic Button does good work.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year], [1], [2], [3], [4]

I don't think this E3 has affected their sales prospects in any negative manner, if that's what you're saying.