So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

[zorg1000]

Mnementh said:

zorg1000 said:

Well if they do ship 10 million over the holiday quarter than they need to average ~3.33 million in the other 3 quarters.

Last year the 3 non-holiday quarters averaged 2.6 million. Q1 only did 1.96 million due to severe production shortages, thats no longer a factor so shipments this quarter should be higher even if sell through is slightly lower.

Also with Pokemon+Smash in Nov/Dec vs Odyssey in Oct last year, it should cause for bigger post-holiday momentum so Q4 should be higher.

 

Even if they miss their target, they should still be pretty close.

Current sales 170K according to VGC. A quarter has 13 weeks. That makes 2.2M, quite a bit lower than your goal of 3.3M. As I said, weekly sales should soon start to improve. Otherwise the holidays have to be spectacular.

We are talking shipments and i said average over 3 quarters. Just like last year, i expect Q1 to be the lowest.

Last fiscal year

Q1-1.96

Q2-2.93

Q3-7.24

Q4-2.93

 

I could see this year being something like

Q1-2.7

Q2-3.3

Q3-10.3

Q4-3.7