By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

Great first post/question!

I think they'll hit 20 million..but barely. Pokemon and Smash are big system sellers. Mario Party and Fortnite are titles that can move units too by word of mouth. Hell I know a few people who bought a Switch solely as a mobile version of Fortnite. I also think Nintendo will show some stuff we haven't seen yet that will be available within this fiscal year that will help sales.



"Tell me why does it have to be so hard

to let go when it?s your final day

...When death is on it's way"

Around the Network
Wyrdness said:
Megiddo said:

Last fiscal year had BOTW, Mario Kart 8, Splatoon 2, and Mario Odyssey

This fiscal year there's Smash & Pokemon

Smash and Pokemon are bigger sellers than all those games with the exception MK.

smash and 3d mario have always been very close in sales, and 3d mario has taken it to a new level, I don't see smash doing the same.



quickrick said:
Wyrdness said:

Smash and Pokemon are bigger sellers than all those games with the exception MK.

smash and 3d mario have always been very close in sales, and 3d mario has taken it to a new level, I don't see smash doing the same.

Smash has sold 10m plus consistently in its last two outings with each increasing in sales (Brawl sold 13m while Smash 4 sold 14.5m total), Ultimate will sell 15m LT easily and could go on to hit 20m on Switch only other title that consistently hits numbers like these is Pokemon and MK.



Chorlin said:
Azelover said:
I doubt they will as it is. At least one more big game is necessary IMO.

Yeah, Animal Crossing maybe. But i think it´s too late for that announcement now.

when would it ever be too late to announce a game? :S



3DS FC# 4553-9947-9017 NNID: Bajablo

Torn-City - MMO text based RPG, join me! :)

I think they will make it. Pokemon looks better than expected.... Smash is a new game.



Switch!!!

Around the Network

No fucking way. But it's going to be fun to see them trying.

 

EDIT: Ok, if they cut the price or release a new Switch version, like Switch Lite or Switch XL, yes. With the current information we have, no.



Yes.

Maybe.

But mainly, yes. Considering the projection was for FY '19, this should happen almost easily. Obviously shipped units though, because I doubt sales will reach higher than 17-18 million.



Carl is a Piplup hater and deserves to be punished eternally.

Megiddo said:
zorg1000 said:

Why is 100 million so unattainable?

Last fiscal year was 15.05m hardware and 63.51m spftware for a tie ratio of ~4.2.

Last fiscal year had BOTW, Mario Kart 8, Splatoon 2, and Mario Odyssey

This fiscal year there's Smash & Pokemon

Those games are still charting on a weekly/monthly basis in all of the big regions.

Smash & Pokemon can each ship 10-15 million this fiscal year. So thats ~25 million with just those 2 titles.

Lets say the other 1st/2nd party titles like Labo, Tropical Freeze, Hyrule Warriors, Sushi Striker, Mario Tennis, Captain Toad, Octopath, Mario Party average ~1.5 million.

The big 4 of 2017 should each do a few million and the smaller exclusives of 2017 should each do a few 100k.

The 1st/2nd party titles alone can do ~60 million and as of March 31, 2018 1st/2nd party titles made up ~60% of total software so assuming a similar ratio this year and the numbers dont seem out of place.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Mar1217 said:
People shouldn't forget that we're talking about the 2018-2019 fiscal that ends at the end of March for Nintendo.

So it got plenty of times to do that :P Also, they're probably gonna push out FE Three Houses and Daemon X Machina for the beginning of 2019 (Feb/Mar). That's 2 other decent games to look foward that can push sales.

Something to keep in mind when it comes to fiscal years for Nintendo.

We have ~9 months left, not the end of the year.

Fire Emblem can potentially make it for March. I'm not sure about Daemon x Machina as I haven't checked out the Treehouse footage. Looks interesting though.

Plus, there is bound to be another direct around the end of Summer/start of Fall.



Hmm, the fiscal year is young, so much is possible. So far it seems they might fall short. Pokemon and Smash surely will move units, but they come late, Pokemon will affect five months of sale, Smash even only four. So far it seems unlikely, but maybe I'll get surprised.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year], [1], [2], [3], [4]