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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

They'll be able to ship that many, but there'll be a lot of units on shelves by April.



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I doubt they will as it is. At least one more big game is necessary IMO.



Congratulations on the first thread!

If we are talking 20 million for this fiscal year alone... naw. Unless Let's Go is beyond hype and Smashes even Smash Bros Ultimate in terms selling millions within a few months. But who knows stranger things can happen. It isn't like anyone else has a major release besides Red Dead this fall.



Azelover said:
I doubt they will as it is. At least one more big game is necessary IMO.

Yeah, Animal Crossing maybe. But i think it´s too late for that announcement now.



Okay, here I go again... Looking at sell through, which should be about 16-17 million in 2018, the total sales will be 30-31 million as of January 2019 there abouts (from 13.2 million in January 2018). This means about 2-3 million more shipped (34 million-ish) by the same time. Give it another 3 months to ship another 3-4 million or so and it will be at 37-38 million by March 31st 2019, which would be hitting the 20 million mark from 17.7 million. So yeah, I see it happening.



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LethalP said:
Okay, here I go again... Looking at sell through, which should be about 16-17 million in 2018, the total sales will be 30-31 million as of January 2019 there abouts (from 13.2 million in January 2018). This means about 2-3 million more shipped (34 million-ish) by the same time. Give it another 3 months to ship another 3-4 million or so and it will be at 37-38 million by March 31st 2019, which would be hitting the 20 million mark from 17.7 million. So yeah, I see it happening.

My concern is that the strong software starts in November. Before that there is nothing big.



Chorlin said:
LethalP said:
Okay, here I go again... Looking at sell through, which should be about 16-17 million in 2018, the total sales will be 30-31 million as of January 2019 there abouts (from 13.2 million in January 2018). This means about 2-3 million more shipped (34 million-ish) by the same time. Give it another 3 months to ship another 3-4 million or so and it will be at 37-38 million by March 31st 2019, which would be hitting the 20 million mark from 17.7 million. So yeah, I see it happening.

My concern is that the strong software starts in November. Before that there is nothing big.

Yep, I was thinking a September release for Smash Bros, instead it's December. It could have taken all the months from September to December but at this rate it looks like it only really has a chance of winning the holidays.

It should still sell 16-17 million this year all things considered. Mario Tennis, Octopath, Mario Party will drive sales mid year.



Nope it will sell the same as 2017.



How mush has the switch sold or shipped so far this year?



Megiddo said:
20 million Switch units is still possible.

100 million software units is far, far, far out of reach.

Why is 100 million so unattainable?

Last fiscal year was 15.05m hardware and 63.51m spftware for a tie ratio of ~4.2.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.