1st year: 5.5M
LT: 32M
"Just for comparison Uncharted 4 was 20x bigger than Splatoon 2. This shows the huge difference between Sony's first-party games and Nintendo's first-party games."
How much do you think Switch will sell lifetime? | |||
<10M | 39 | 4.02% | |
10M-20M | 125 | 12.87% | |
20M-30M | 137 | 14.11% | |
30M-40M | 143 | 14.73% | |
40M-50M | 121 | 12.46% | |
50M-60M | 120 | 12.36% | |
60M-70M | 70 | 7.21% | |
70M-80M | 60 | 6.18% | |
80M-100M | 60 | 6.18% | |
> 100M | 96 | 9.89% | |
Total: | 971 |
1st year: 5.5M
LT: 32M
"Just for comparison Uncharted 4 was 20x bigger than Splatoon 2. This shows the huge difference between Sony's first-party games and Nintendo's first-party games."
Well if it has Mario, Zelda, Pokemon and Monster Hunter, plus some of the smaller Japanese titles, than it will sell gangbusters in Japan. Possibly even match Wii U sales from that one country alone.
In the west, it will do ok, nothing more. Again, having all these big Nintendo titles in one place is going to be a great selling point, and I think the mere fact that Pokemon will be on the system will see growth for Nintendo in NA and EU.
It is hard to say, but 40-45m is my guess. Would love to know Nintendo's projections for the system long-term.
Too early to say. If it is a true successor to 3DS and Wii U combined I'd say 3DS numbers, especially if it can get to $200 in a couple years.
I'll give it 30 to 40 million units for now.
I think 2-4 million until a major price cut then perhaps a further 4 million of this sku before a new improved model is released that sells perhaps 10-20 million.
I'm going with 20-30 Million. High cost for what it offers, weak 3rd party support, and going up against a very successful PS4 console with good library and more big games coming out.
First year I'll say 4-5 Million.
Almost surely more than Wii U.
With the right choices and marketing, a long lifecycle, decent 3rd party support and better pricing than at launch, I think it could outsell 3DS too.
If on top of the previous requirements Ninty does everything perfect and 3rd parties support it more than decently too, then 100M+.
Surely i's not d0m3d due to hW power, or lack of it, whatever Ninty says, it's mainly a portable that is dockable too, it cannot be as powerful as 8th gen home consoles. It just needs enough main RAM (I haven't found yet how much it actually has), as too little would make multiplat ports difficult.
The poll develops quite interesting: from 10M to 60M every option is chosen nearly in the same amount, maybe a slight preference to the lower numbers. Only a few predict something above 60M.
I'm not sure on first year numbers, but I'd say 20-25mil lifetime. Really could go either way though, depending on re-designs, advertising and how the flagship franchises do.
Way too early to tell. I have a bit of faith maybe in my first year prediction but LTD is just a shot in the dark.
First year I'll say between 6-8 million.
I'll assume this thing gets 3DS support for around 50-60 million LTD. Wii U level support then probably 15-20 million again.