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Forums - Sales Discussion - October NPD 2015 predictions thread

 

Which console will win?

PS4 212 66.88%
 
XB1 103 32.49%
 
Total:315

PS4: 13 Billion

XB1: 12.9 Billion (Statistical Tie)

Wii U: 2 (Statistical Tie)

NX: 47 Billion

3DS: 100 Million

Vita: 914 Quintrigintillion (Ttatistical Sie)

Vita TV: More than Wii U

Wii: 4

PS3: 3.4

360: 3.7 (Statistical Tie)



In this day and age, with the Internet, ignorance is a choice! And they're still choosing Ignorance! - Dr. Filthy Frank

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[PS4] 390,000
[XB1] 340,000
[3DS] 130,000
[WIU] 75,000



Looking at the PS3's first pricecut which happened in late August 2009
PS3 NPD sales went from 210k in August to 490k in September, 133% bump in sales.

Looking at Halo 3 launch in September 2007
360 NPD sales went from 277k in August to 528k in September, 91% bump in sales.

Looking at Halo: Reach launch in September 2010
360 NPD sales went from 357k in August to 488k in September, 37% bump in sales.

The PS4 pricecut isn't as significant as the ps3's was. But this isn't the first Halo on the XB1. I'm going to guess both consoles get a 30% bump from September.

PS4 - 442k
XB1 - 365k
WiiU - 75k
3DS - 110k



XB1- 445k
PS4- 410k
WiiU-70k
3DS- 110k



enrageorange said:

Looking at the PS3's first pricecut which happened in late August 2009
PS3 NPD sales went from 210k in August to 490k in September, 133% bump in sales.

Looking at Halo 3 launch in September 2007
360 NPD sales went from 277k in August to 528k in September, 91% bump in sales.

Looking at Halo: Reach launch in September 2010
360 NPD sales went from 357k in August to 488k in September, 37% bump in sales.

The PS4 pricecut isn't as significant as the ps3's was. But this isn't the first Halo on the XB1. I'm going to guess both consoles get a 30% bump from September.

PS4 - 442k
XB1 - 365k
WiiU - 75k
3DS - 110k

That's not how it works..

The less a console is selling, the bigger the % boost when boosts happen. This works in favor of X1 (and PS3) and against PS4 (and 360)  when trying to use %s to come up with numbers.



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xb1:350k
ps4: 330k
Wii U:60k
3DS:120k



I'll say XB1 will win.
Some of the more attractive PS4 bundles that people buy won't count for the month of October, and I think ultimately that will punish PS4 for that month.

XB1: 380k
PS4: 350k
WiiU: 75k
3DS: 100k



PS4: 375k
XBO: 350k
3DS: 90k
Wii U: 50k



PS4 - 320k
X1- 380k

the rest is not important



[PS4] 388,000
[XB1] 345,000
[3DS] 116,000
[WIU] 61,000