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Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware Up 6 December 2014

Mystro-Sama on 20 December 2014

Dammit! I was hoping the Wii U could maintain the boost for a bit.



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estebxx on 20 December 2014

How people think the PS4 will reach 20 million by the end of the year is beyond me.... so it will sell 3.4 million in 2 weeks? i dont think so ...



DexInDaJungle on 20 December 2014
estebxx said:
How people think the PS4 will reach 20 million by the end of the year is beyond me.... so it will sell 3.4 million in 2 weeks? i dont think so ...


Technically it has 4 weeks left. We don't have data for the week up to the 13th and the final week technically ends on January 3rd. Still, I feel like it might just barely miss the 20m mark, maybe 19m~



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LordLichtenstein on 20 December 2014
estebxx said:
How people think the PS4 will reach 20 million by the end of the year is beyond me.... so it will sell 3.4 million in 2 weeks? i dont think so ...


Watch it happen.


Dec - 13
Dec - 20
Dec - 27
Jan  - 03

4 weeks.



LordLichtenstein on 20 December 2014
CGI-Quality said:
estebxx said:
How people think the PS4 will reach 20 million by the end of the year is beyond me.... so it will sell 3.4 million in 2 weeks? i dont think so ...

It would actually be four weeks, since we don't have Dec 13 figures in yet. That said, to accomplish 20 million by Jan 3rd (end of the final week), it would have to do at least 1.1 million each week that's left, which it will not (outside of Christmas week, where it should top 1 million again). Thus, it will fall just shy of it, probably hitting 18.5-19 million (which is fantastic)!


Something like this is possible.

Dec 13 - 17,441,530 (875,000)
Dec 20 - 18,716,530 (1,275,000)
Dec 27 - 19,466,530 (750,000)
Jan  03 - 20,016,530 (550,000)




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estebxx on 20 December 2014
DexInDaJungle said:

Technically it has 4 weeks left. We don't have data for the week up to the 13th and the final week technically ends on January 3rd. Still, I feel like it might just barely miss the 20m mark, maybe 19m~

 

LordLichtenstein said:


Watch it happen.


Dec - 13
Dec - 20
Dec - 27
Jan  - 03

4 weeks.

hmmm... so 4 weeks for 3.4 million an average of (somewhere arround) 820.000 sales per week, seems more possible but i still have my doubts, depending on next weeks numbers we will have a better view on how possible it is to happen



DexInDaJungle on 20 December 2014
LordLichtenstein said:
CGI-Quality said:
estebxx said:
How people think the PS4 will reach 20 million by the end of the year is beyond me.... so it will sell 3.4 million in 2 weeks? i dont think so ...

It would actually be four weeks, since we don't have Dec 13 figures in yet. That said, to accomplish 20 million by Jan 3rd (end of the final week), it would have to do at least 1.1 million each week that's left, which it will not (outside of Christmas week, where it should top 1 million again). Thus, it will fall just shy of it, probably hitting 18.5-19 million (which is fantastic)!


Something like this is possible.

Dec 13 - 17,441,530 (875,000)
Dec 20 - 18,716,530 (1,275,000)
Dec 27 - 19,466,530 (750,000)
Jan  03 - 20,016,530 (550,000)

Possible yes. Do I hope it happens, yes. The more success any of the three companies have the better for us gamers but I still have my doubts that it will happen.

Edit: We found out that there is a shortage in Europe recently. And I feel like a lot of NA has resorted to buying their Christmas gifts around Black Friday to get the best deals possible. So while these numbers would be great, I feel like it might be asking too much. Like I said though, I hope I'm wrong.



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Aerys on 20 December 2014
LordLichtenstein said:
CGI-Quality said:
estebxx said:
How people think the PS4 will reach 20 million by the end of the year is beyond me.... so it will sell 3.4 million in 2 weeks? i dont think so ...

It would actually be four weeks, since we don't have Dec 13 figures in yet. That said, to accomplish 20 million by Jan 3rd (end of the final week), it would have to do at least 1.1 million each week that's left, which it will not (outside of Christmas week, where it should top 1 million again). Thus, it will fall just shy of it, probably hitting 18.5-19 million (which is fantastic)!


Something like this is possible.

Dec 13 - 17,441,530 (875,000)
Dec 20 - 18,716,530 (1,275,000)
Dec 27 - 19,466,530 (750,000)
Jan  03 - 20,016,530 (550,000)

Without shortages, i think you'll be pretty much spot on ( maybe ever under the actual numbers) , the only doubt is the last week, how big will be the drop ?

We also have to consider that PS4 could be undertracked by 400k at least which would make 20M much easier to reach.

 


But anywya, no need to talk about these numbers before months, since they will be totally different in january after all adjustment, PS4 couuld go from 19M on VGC to 20M , depending on official announceemnts



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

DerNebel on 20 December 2014
Aerys said:
LordLichtenstein said:
CGI-Quality said:

It would actually be four weeks, since we don't have Dec 13 figures in yet. That said, to accomplish 20 million by Jan 3rd (end of the final week), it would have to do at least 1.1 million each week that's left, which it will not (outside of Christmas week, where it should top 1 million again). Thus, it will fall just shy of it, probably hitting 18.5-19 million (which is fantastic)!


Something like this is possible.

Dec 13 - 17,441,530 (875,000)
Dec 20 - 18,716,530 (1,275,000)
Dec 27 - 19,466,530 (750,000)
Jan  03 - 20,016,530 (550,000)

Without shortages, i think you'll be pretty much spot on ( maybe ever under the actual numbers) , the only doubt is the last week, how big will be the drop ?

Well the last week should be the biggest in Japan right? So that should help make the drop not too drastic.



LordLichtenstein on 20 December 2014
DexInDaJungle said:
LordLichtenstein said:
CGI-Quality said:
estebxx said:
How people think the PS4 will reach 20 million by the end of the year is beyond me.... so it will sell 3.4 million in 2 weeks? i dont think so ...

It would actually be four weeks, since we don't have Dec 13 figures in yet. That said, to accomplish 20 million by Jan 3rd (end of the final week), it would have to do at least 1.1 million each week that's left, which it will not (outside of Christmas week, where it should top 1 million again). Thus, it will fall just shy of it, probably hitting 18.5-19 million (which is fantastic)!


Something like this is possible.

Dec 13 - 17,441,530 (875,000)
Dec 20 - 18,716,530 (1,275,000)
Dec 27 - 19,466,530 (750,000)
Jan  03 - 20,016,530 (550,000)

Possible yes. Do I hope it happens, yes. The more success any of the three companies have the better for us gamers but I still have my doubts that it will happen.

Edit: We found out that there is a shortage in Europe recently. And I feel like a lot of NA has resorted to buying their Christmas gifts around Black Friday to get the best deals possible. So while these numbers would be great, I feel like it might be asking too much. Like I said though, I hope I'm wrong.


We don't know how much the shortage will impact the Holiday sales, yet. How can you feel something like that? It happens basically every year. Late November the sales spike during black friday, but Christmas surpasses Black Friday. Usually December moves a lot more units, than November.