LordLichtenstein said:
CGI-Quality said:
estebxx said: How people think the PS4 will reach 20 million by the end of the year is beyond me.... so it will sell 3.4 million in 2 weeks? i dont think so ... |
It would actually be four weeks, since we don't have Dec 13 figures in yet. That said, to accomplish 20 million by Jan 3rd (end of the final week), it would have to do at least 1.1 million each week that's left, which it will not (outside of Christmas week, where it should top 1 million again). Thus, it will fall just shy of it, probably hitting 18.5-19 million (which is fantastic)!
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Something like this is possible.
Dec 13 - 17,441,530 (875,000) Dec 20 - 18,716,530 (1,275,000) Dec 27 - 19,466,530 (750,000) Jan 03 - 20,016,530 (550,000)
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Without shortages, i think you'll be pretty much spot on ( maybe ever under the actual numbers) , the only doubt is the last week, how big will be the drop ?
We also have to consider that PS4 could be undertracked by 400k at least which would make 20M much easier to reach.
But anywya, no need to talk about these numbers before months, since they will be totally different in january after all adjustment, PS4 couuld go from 19M on VGC to 20M , depending on official announceemnts