Lets be generous wiiu 20/25 lt and x1 30/35 lt.

Some say market shrunk to 200m so 150/140m for PS4, far from impssiburur to sale great when your competition is what it is. Given what its selling with lack of software, its gonna happen.

Predicting lifetime sales of a console not even done with it's first year is a joke. It could sell 250k per week globally for a year, but it could do 60k per month globally per year next year for all you know. The market is fickle and ps4 games currently are not being released at a rappid pace. 2015 lineup looks ways better for Wii U than it does Ps4 so far. Not to mention Sony has to at least ATTEMPT to make the Vita profitable so that takes developers away from ps4 games. The ps4 could sell over 100mil lifetime, or it could sell 40 million or less for all we know. The first year means nothing, and the first 3/4 of a year mean even less.

PS3 sold 3.2 million September to December 2013. As you say, it's down 50% this year. So if it stays 50% the rest of the year, it should be around 1.6 million. A long overdue price cut could revamp the PS3 sales, it is a great secondary console for the new PS+ subscribers who converted from 360 or Wii to PS4.

The whole post is an awesome joke buddy, and no.  LOL 40

Yeah predicting that the PS4 will sell only 40 LT is just crazy and probably should seek a padded room.

2015 line up on next gen consoles totally outbeats the Wii-u...sorry I know opinions and all that, but if we look at what will push many consoles, theres just too many on next gen..... Batman, Dying light, the order, Witcher, Battlefield, Bloodbourne.... theres way more than that, but thats all i could be bothered to list... and most of those are in the first 3 months of the year.

The title and the OP don't match...

But yeah. I don't see the PS4 selling over 100 million personally. All depends on how it does next year.

Go look at year on year sales of multiple consoles.  The systems best sales aren't at year one.  The first years sales are one of the worst.  The PS4 sales will get better.  With the PS4s marketshare, I think the PS4 will sell 20m or higher atleast one or more years.

Of coure I don't think all 10 million are core gaming consumers. What I'm saying is the percentage of purchases from casual gamers will be much smaller for all consoles this generation. Less hardware sales but software sales shouldn't be affected much because the casuals never buy more than one or two games all gen anyways.

I think the massive record breaking launch sales the PS4 had will off set a lot of that. I'm not saying it wont increase in sales a couple years down the road, but not by as much as a lot of people are expecting. I could see something like 12 12 15 15 10 6 4 1, 64m by PS5 launch, 75m lifetime, discontinued after 8 years.

No a console who sale 250k per week globally can't sale 60k per month globally unless 3rd party drop completly there's support which is imposible.

Maybe wii u line up is better quality then ps4 but ps4 line up will push more sales then Wii u line up.

Sony and third party completly abandoned psv and E3 and Gamescom is a proof of that so psv will not takes s developers away from ps4 games.