100 million PS4 lifetime is impossible...

[novasonic]

kupomogli said:

novasonic said:

I still don't see it. I might be a touch low on my prediction, but no more than 5 million. I just don't see how PS4 can go any higher than 70 million. The PS, PS2, and Wii reached 100+ million mostly because of casual gamers and most casual gamers have moved to phones and tablets. 10-15 million a year for 5 years, then PS5 will launch and sales will drop pretty quickly because by then it will be too insanely expensive to support two consoles at once for Sony.

Go look at year on year sales of multiple consoles.  The systems best sales aren't at year one.  The first years sales are one of the worst.  The PS4 sales will get better.  With the PS4s marketshare, I think the PS4 will sell 20m or higher atleast one or more years.

I think the massive record breaking launch sales the PS4 had will off set a lot of that. I'm not saying it wont increase in sales a couple years down the road, but not by as much as a lot of people are expecting. I could see something like 12 12 15 15 10 6 4 1, 64m by PS5 launch, 75m lifetime, discontinued after 8 years.