Good luck with that. For Europe:

a) It's summer, it's getting hot, people go on vacation.

b) It's Brazil 2014 from next week on. Anything else is irrelevant.

a) usually leads to low sales numbers, a)+b) together leads to dead sales numbers. By dead I mean deader that the usual summer numbers.

I could see 200k+ for the month of June, but not 300k+. Maybe worldwide will get over 300k, but just NPD? It'll get over 100k for sure, might get over 200k, but that's it.

Correct me if I am wrong, but does that Kinectless SKU come with a game?

If not then Kyliedog is in fact right since a Kinectless SKU + Game = same price as Titanfall bundle which also came with a Kinect. Without a game though you are correct that the $400 Titanfall bundle was only for an hour or so.

His post is likely implying this since you don't buy a console without also buying a game. Buying a Titanfall bundle and selling off the game would make the price the same. I might be wrong though as I am not sure what comes in the Kinectless package.

Kyliedog's wording is just terrible. Of course if in fact this was his angle.

I voted 250-300K. Hopefully it doesn't do worse than that.

I don't see a Kinectless SKU doing wonders. Titanfall bundle is still a much better deal, and it's selling poorly.
It mught generate some sales due to media E3 buzz, and some from Kinect-haters and/or Titanfall-haters (for a lack of better word, I don't mean hater as a derogatory word), but it will return soon to its current levels, and even drop off a bit due to slow summer sales.
I say 100-150 is a reasonable number (28-30K per week), on par with April numbers.

Damn, misread the poll before I voted.

What I meant to choose was 150 - 200k, although closer to 200k.

I hate to break it to you but I very much doubt the increase will be big. I don't think it'll be enough to outsell the PS4, at least on NPD (VGC will obviously put it on top, like they've done every week before for most of this year). In the UK, it's already very cheap and the Kinectless version is a worse value proposition, it won't do anything there. Everywhere else, the X1 will continue to be dead.

This notion that price is the only issue is wrong

The Kinectless SKU does not come with game. But if you read the statement the claim that was made was there were better deals before. Then that was followed up with an example. Instead of using the dramatic titanfall bundle for 400 dollars it could have been the 450 dollar one. Doesn't change the claim

The $450 TF bundle was a much better vaue proposition than the Kinectless SKU and it still failed to do anything. The Kinectless SKU won't either, especially with Halo 5 delayed till next year and Gears being years off.

im not expecting more than 200k. after those monster HW boost from MK8 and watch dogs, who knows