Cobretti2 said:
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Some kids will go to other consoles, some will stop gaming altogether, and some will stay loyal to Nintendo. The beautiful thing though is that people are always fucking, so there are going to be more kids. There will always be more non-gamers than gamers.
At this point, Nintendo has a system that's not catching on with much of anyone, while Sony has a system that is strongly resonating with hardcore gamers, and Microsoft has one that is doing well at least in the US. Neither the XBox One or the PS4 has much in the way of family friendly content or anyting that goes outside the bounds of "hardcore" gaming which is an area Nintendo has always been strong with.
Where then does Nintendo's opportunity lie? If the Wii U is going to be a success, it's not going to be because Nintendo out FPSed two consoles that will be flooded with FPS in two years. That would require massive resource development, and a complete shift in marketing. Having Miyamoto, who has consistently shown an ability to connect with casual gamers, work on an FPS would be like hiring Infinity Ward to work on your new dating sim. If the Wii U is going to be a success, they need to reengage the casual market.
Ideally, third party content would fill the gap that Nintendo leaves, but clearly that's not happening.