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Forums - Sales - Stranger than fiction: Is PS3 about to win the console sales war?

The likelihood of every American converting to Islam is higher. The author expects the PS3 to sell 1/3rd of its lifetime sales in the course of a year? (I say year, because PS4 will severely hamper PS3 sales).

Ridiculous mindsets like the author of the article make the internet lame.



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Mnementh said:
ethomaz said:
JWeinCom said:
At the current rate that its selling, it will take the PS3 3.4 years to catch up to the Wii. This is assuming not a single Wii is sold. But, if the Wii keeps selling at its current rate, it will add about 4,000,000 to its total. So, if both systems continue to sell at the current rate, it will take the PS4 about 4 years.

Of course the systems will not continue to sell at the current rates. PS3 will probably dip more than the Wii, because the Wii simply doesn't have very far to drop. If Wii sales drop to zero and PS3 sales average 80,000, it will take 5 years for the PS3 to catch the Wii. If it averages 50,000 per week, it will take 8.8 years to catch the Wii.

So... I don't really see that happening. The PS3 isn't going to have as long of a post PS4 life as the PS2 did post PS3. The PS2 basically had no opposition. The X-Box and Gamecube were essentially dead once the next generation of consoles arrives. The Wii and X-Box 360 still have some decent life left in them.
Well...

FY2012: 77 million
FY2013: 89 million (12 million shipped)
FY2014: 99 million (10 million shipped)
FY2015: 106 million (7 million shipped)
FY2016: 111 million (5 million shipped)
FY2017: 113 million (2 million shipped)

Is that too hard? You can remove 1 million per year if you think I'm optimistic... 108 million shipped... I can't see Wii topping that.

Then you absolutely should take my bet. If PS3 overtakes Wii (max until 2020) you win, I win if it does not. What do you say, deal?

So many people here say it is doable or even likely, but nobody will take my bet. You all should better BELI3VE!

Alright I'll take your bet what should the terms be as far as spoils?




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No



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platformmaster918 said:
Mnementh said:

Then you absolutely should take my bet. If PS3 overtakes Wii (max until 2020) you win, I win if it does not. What do you say, deal?

So many people here say it is doable or even likely, but nobody will take my bet. You all should better BELI3VE!

Alright I'll take your bet what should the terms be as far as spoils?

I would prefer ethomaz would believe in his prediction and would take my bet, but if you want I do the bet with you.

What do you want bet about? Sig say platformmaster/mnementh is the king or something like that? Something else?



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

I actually think it's possible in the long run, but it will be extremely close. 

The PS3 isn't even $199.99 yet (widely anyway).

A $199.99 PS3 w/Uncharted 3 this holiday will outsell the Wii U IMO.

That's what I think PS3 can do for Sony is it can steal a lot of the Wii U's sales by being cheaper and having hundreds more games (many at $19.99-$29.99 a pop) for the next 3-4 years.



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Mnementh said:
platformmaster918 said:
Mnementh said:
 

Then you absolutely should take my bet. If PS3 overtakes Wii (max until 2020) you win, I win if it does not. What do you say, deal?

So many people here say it is doable or even likely, but nobody will take my bet. You all should better BELI3VE!

Alright I'll take your bet what should the terms be as far as spoils?

I would prefer ethomaz would believe in his prediction and would take my bet, but if you want I do the bet with you.

What do you want bet about? Sig say platformmaster/mnementh is the king or something like that? Something else?

Sure we'll have to put "(whoever wins)'s powers of clairvoyance far exceed my own.  He correctly predicted that PS3 would/would not be first place while I foolishly said it wouldn't" and keep it like that for...a month I guess?




Get Your Portable ID!Lord of Ratchet and Clank

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Warden of Platformers

The PS3 will always ultimately be seen as a sour note for Sony as it effectively wiped out most of their profits from the PS1/PS2 eras. It's an impressive marathon runner though, but I think that really has more to do with Nintendo's own bumbling in the console space.

They should have released an HD-higher specced Wii in 2010 or 2011 and recognized that the original Wii was running out of steam.



Soundwave said:
The PS3 will always ultimately be seen as a sour note for Sony as it effectively wiped out most of their profits from the PS1/PS2 eras. It's an impressive marathon runner though, but I think that really has more to do with Nintendo's own bumbling in the console space.

They should have released an HD-higher specced Wii in 2010 or 2011 and recognized that the original Wii was running out of steam.

ok and Sony could've spent that $800 on superior RAM and processing in a PC architecture without a bluray drive and blown everyone out of the water.  Or they could've released a $400 system with no bluray or cell and blown everyone away in sales.  We're not discussing hypotheticals here or financials, but rather what the future holds for total sales.




Get Your Portable ID!Lord of Ratchet and Clank

Duke of Playstation Plus

Warden of Platformers

platformmaster918 said:
Mnementh said:
platformmaster918 said:
Mnementh said:
 

Then you absolutely should take my bet. If PS3 overtakes Wii (max until 2020) you win, I win if it does not. What do you say, deal?

So many people here say it is doable or even likely, but nobody will take my bet. You all should better BELI3VE!

Alright I'll take your bet what should the terms be as far as spoils?

I would prefer ethomaz would believe in his prediction and would take my bet, but if you want I do the bet with you.

What do you want bet about? Sig say platformmaster/mnementh is the king or something like that? Something else?

Sure we'll have to put "(whoever wins)'s powers of clairvoyance far exceed my own.  He correctly predicted that PS3 would/would not be first place while I foolishly said it wouldn't" and keep it like that for...a month I guess?

Agreed. Will take a while before we can decide that one, but it will be fun.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

I'd be interested in seeing how well the PS3 can sell after a 50-75$ price cut.
I can't see the PS3 outselling the Wii, but I can see it outselling the 360. Time will tell.