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Forums - Sales Discussion - Stranger than fiction: Is PS3 about to win the console sales war?

curl-6 said:
By the time it does, the 8th gen will be well under way. Passing the winner after the race finishes isn't really winning.

this post just gave me an image of a last place runner passing up the winners house just to say i win cause i'm still running.



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tres said:
ethomaz said:
In 2020 people will question "Which console was the market leader in 7th gen consoles?" The answer will be PS3 and nobody will remember Wii or 360... that's how the history was made.

PS3 110-115 million coming at the end to be the best selling console this generation.

My prediction: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=150842

in 2020? will "people" even care about the 7th gen.  cause if they do whats that say about the 8th gen heading out to the 9th?


i'm sure as long as said consoles are bing tracked, they'll be talked about. regardless the gen. can't wait to talk about PS2 when the 8th gen. starts.



I'm not a particularly big Sony fan but they do deserves huge props for how they managed to turn the PS3's fortunes around, it was looking dire for quite some time.

Having said that, even if PS3 manages to crawl past the Wii's total sales, that's not really a win, not in any meaningful sense. It will be a great milestone, given the start that the PS3 had, but that's it. You are comparing a system that, in the end , will have sold about the same numbers, the majority in about half the time and earned it's makers billions of dollars profit within the space of 3-4 years, with a system that slowly achieved the same sales and, although now profitable, cost its makers billions of dollars.

People seem to now forget the 6 billion dollar hole the PS3 created in Sony's finances. Sony have made the best of a bad start and in the process made many gamers very happy, but they will never make that money back. Sales are great but in the end, for all console makers, they are purely a means to earn profit.



PDF said:
2013: 10m $199
2014: 7m $149
2015: 4m $99
2016: 2m $99 discontinued.

I think 23m more console shipped is possible.


those pricecuts won't happen with the exception of the 2013. the next pricecut will likely happen in 2016, and the console won't be discontinued.



MARCUSDJACKSON said:
i'm in doubt of Sony releasing PS3 in China.

The PS3 has been available in China for quite some time. it is sold through an official Chinese distributor. The price is so high though that the numbers are irrelevent compared to the black market.



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drkohler said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
i'm in doubt of Sony releasing PS3 in China.

The PS3 has been available in China for quite some time. it is sold through an official Chinese distributor. The price is so high though that the numbers are irrelevent compared to the black market.

yea i heard. does it put launch prices to shame?



lol, no. Not going to happen. The PS3 is 23 million units behind a (slowly) moving target. The PS4 has already been announced, and it's not long (~7 months, barring delays) until marketing starts for it.

The PS3 doesn't have the install base to justify annual releases of sports games etc that the PS2 got.

They are wrong by the way with the "Wii sales dropped because it can't play dvds. That is rubbish. Wii sales dropped when games stopped releasing. The ability to play dvds or blu rays will not extend the PS3's life - it needs new games to avoid sales plummeting. It will have a good year this year, but Sony has moved most of its effort to Vita or PS4, and 3rd parties are shifting to the next gen too.

The PS3 will get decent sales from here, but not close to the 25 M+ it needs to outsell the Wii.



lol just wait guys... just wait... I will serve a lot of crow in this thread



drkohler said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
i'm in doubt of Sony releasing PS3 in China.

The PS3 has been available in China for quite some time. it is sold through an official Chinese distributor. The price is so high though that the numbers are irrelevent compared to the black market.


Yeah, I don't understand where people get this notion that China is a big and vital market for consoles, its really not. Same goes for India. I guess people are thinking high population = high sales, an incredibly simplistic way of seeing things that reveals a complete lack of understanding of economics, markets and cultural difference. It was the same with the outlandish Wii predictions, "Oh, just wait till the Wii launches in China and India, it will be madness!" The Chinese market won't to much for the PS3 and even if it did, the results would be in, China is not like the 3rd world or super poor developing countries where the adoption rates lie half a decade or a whole decade behind the West. If anything, Chinese middle class, the most likely customers for consoles, will have the same adoptation patterns as Korea and Japan.

This folly needs to stop.



MARCUSDJACKSON said:
thismeintiel said:

I don't know what stores you have been to, but all the Walmarts, KMarts, and Targets around me carried the PS2 til about 2010, maybe even early 2011.  So, ~4 years into the PS3's life.  I expect the PS3 can last at least half that time.

PS2 got took out of display just last yr. in Alex. LA. Walmart lol. Hastings still has a huge section dedicated to PS2. well i haven't been there in 3 months so things have changed. anyway this is my post. your thoughts.

 

 

during the PS3's hype, i estimated 125m ww by 2020. but personal adjustments have changed those numbers, and i haven't predicted consoles sales in over a yr.

PS3 will likely reach 10-12m by yr.'s end, and is still undertracked from last yr. 

PS3 will have sold 80m units sold by yr.'s end. 5-10 for the next 4 yr's will put PS3 over 100m units sold, and it won't be discontinued in 2016 either.

lets wait for GOD:A and the last of us to release before we jump the gun.

 

Yea, I'm sure stores are different all over the country.  But I think that overall most stores stopped carrying the PS2 somwhere around late 2010 - early 2011.  Which is nowhere close to the 2008 that Republic suggested.  I mean NPD tracked it up until March 2010, where it sold 118K in that in the US alone. 

PS3 should be closer to 85M shipped by the end of the year.  With the price cut, and most likely a few more exclusives and plenty of multiplats, I think it will be at ~92M by the end of 2014.  ~98M by the end of 2015, with a cut to $149.  ~102M by the end of 2016.  It'll probably continue to sell a few million after that, and MAY get a price cut to $99 (I'm expecting that $149 is where Sony will stop with cuts, though) so 105M-110M is definitely not out of the question.