It really depends on how the ps3 performs in emerging markets.
Given it still has a pricetag over $200, it could probably manage another 2-3 solid years of sales in North America and Western Europe after the ps4's launch, and probably an additional year in Japan, but it's regions like Brazil, India, and other South American and Southeast Asian countries where the ps3 could continue to perform moderately well - if not increasingly well - over the next few years. Should China open up to products like ps3, that could provide significant longevity for the system as well.
Sony has a worldwide infrastructure uniquely capable of getting hardware to such markets in a way Microsoft and Nintendo struggle to do so, and they are further able to provide superior support via online services in such regions relative to MS/Nintendo (note the disparity between Sony and Microsoft's offerings via PSN and XBL in much of Eastern Europe).
As third world countries gradually approach first world standards of living, they're creating new markets ripe for Sony, Microsoft, and Nintendo to tackle. Sony did well in emerging markets like the Middle-east and the Philippines with the ps2. That is what, if anything, may allow them to surpass the Wii in total sales.