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richardhutnik on 05 March 2013
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thismeintiel said:

LMAO! How can people seriously believe that the PS3 is only going to ship ~8M-13M more consoles in the next 3 or so years? Hell, it will stand at 85M+ by the end of Sony's FY 2013 (ends March 2014). We still have yet to see the console hit $199, which it will in time for the holiday frenzy this year. This will also come with $150 Black Friday deals, which will help the PS3 stay flat or barely down YOY for Black Friday week. Then, either in '14 or '15, it will have a drop to $150, with a $99 Black Friday bundle.

Then you have to take in consideration that this year or next, Sony will be pushing the PS3 in the emerging regions they are currently pushing the PS2. The same areas that helped at to that ~33M that the PS2 sold outside of the US, EU, and Japan.

So, if the PS2 can sell 55M units after the PS3 has been released, I don't see why the PS3 can't sell at least another 25M units after the PS4 is released. I can definitely see it reaching ~105M, with the (slim) possibility of it hitting ~115M.

By not offering backwards compatibility with the PS3 native, and trying to sell the PS4, they don't have a way for prior PS3 owners to migrate to the PS4.  Do you think they are going to allow PS3 owners to be able to stream games they bought prior they have no record of they bought new?  End result is either the PS4's sales will be stiffled, or the PS3's sales are going to get blunted.  This is due to a lack of native backwards compatibility to give people an upgrade path for their games and whatnot.