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Forums - Sales - Worldwide UP - August 27, 2011

Carl on 05 September 2011
postofficebuddy said:
Seece said:
postofficebuddy said:
The reason I think early 2013 is because I expect Wii to reach 100 million either in late 2012 or early 2013. 100 million at 40% is 250 million total. Sony expects to be at 65 million by April next year and I expect both 360 and PS3 to reach 75 million within a month or two of each other probably around early 2013. Unless Sony cuts price again next year, then maybe holidays 2012 for PS3.

You're expecting a non existant holiday for Wii then.

Nintendo expect to ship 98 mill by March 31st, that could drop 2 mill (but I don't think anymore) so 96 shipped by March 31st. They'll definitely ship another 4 million in the next 3 Q's ....

At this rate it'll happen in Q4, if their forecast drops. If they hit 98 mill by March like they expect, should happen late Q3, or again Q4


I assumed it would happen in Q4 anyway. Early 2013 assumes an absolute worst case scenario, basically sales dropping off a cliff thanks to WiiU and Nintendo only forecasting about 5 million next fiscal year. Obviously not very likely.



Doesnt your scenario also bend to the idea of PS3/360 only selling 10M?



                            

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postofficebuddy on 05 September 2011
Carl2291 said:
postofficebuddy said:
Seece said:
postofficebuddy said:
The reason I think early 2013 is because I expect Wii to reach 100 million either in late 2012 or early 2013. 100 million at 40% is 250 million total. Sony expects to be at 65 million by April next year and I expect both 360 and PS3 to reach 75 million within a month or two of each other probably around early 2013. Unless Sony cuts price again next year, then maybe holidays 2012 for PS3.

You're expecting a non existant holiday for Wii then.

Nintendo expect to ship 98 mill by March 31st, that could drop 2 mill (but I don't think anymore) so 96 shipped by March 31st. They'll definitely ship another 4 million in the next 3 Q's ....

At this rate it'll happen in Q4, if their forecast drops. If they hit 98 mill by March like they expect, should happen late Q3, or again Q4


I assumed it would happen in Q4 anyway. Early 2013 assumes an absolute worst case scenario, basically sales dropping off a cliff thanks to WiiU and Nintendo only forecasting about 5 million next fiscal year. Obviously not very likely.



Doesnt your scenario also bend to the idea of PS3/360 only selling 10M?


Well I figured around 12-13 million for PS3's fiscal year (April 2012-March 2013). It'll be the PS3's 6th year, and the 360's 7th. They're pretty much guaranteed to be down YOY even with a price cut.



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Nintendogamer on 05 September 2011

ha Nintendo have no chance of meeting their projection, 95M end of March 2012 is what I see and 99M end of march 2013.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

Seece on 05 September 2011
Nintendogamer said:
ha Nintendo have no chance of meeting their projection, 95M end of March 2012 is what I see and 99M end of march 2013.

4 mill in one year including a holiday season?

lol, I can only laugh at your posts these days NGamer, you're clearly joking



 

sebzhd on 10 September 2011

WTF incredible error from VGchartz, PSP instead of PS3.



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JackyGoal on 14 September 2011

No new numbers?
US is always first (normally on monday or tuesday?) and the rest comes on friday.
I always find it stupid when the US numbers are on the frontpage while the rest of the numbers aren't there, in my opinion they should wait untill all numbers are in.



hatmoza on 14 September 2011

Gah .. ya know JackyGoal, your bumping made me think WW was up.

BAN HIM PPLZ



I am the black sheep     "of course I'm crazy, but that doesn't mean I'm wrong."-Robert Anton Wilson

Nintendogamer on 14 September 2011
hatmoza said:
Gah .. ya know JackyGoal, your bumping made me think WW was up.

BAN HIM PPLZ


But look at the date before you start getting excited.



Buying in 2015: Captain toad: treasure tracker,

mario maker

new 3ds

yoshi woolly world

zelda U

majora's mask 3d

sebzhd on 15 September 2011
JackyGoal said:
No new numbers?
US is always first (normally on monday or tuesday?) and the rest comes on friday.
I always find it stupid when the US numbers are on the frontpage while the rest of the numbers aren't there, in my opinion they should wait untill all numbers are in.


You are right, probably because VGC is US/UK pro M$ website, so articles and numbers are the view of this. Japan and Europe are never in pre orders for example, all is for America so for rBox, but in reality gap between rBox and PS3 is like snow at sun...