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Forums - Sales - Uncharted 3 Sales Predictions

homer on 12 June 2011
9087 said:

 

-U3 comes out the same day as Battlefield 3 (mega hype) and sales monster MW3 comes out a week later. U3 could get lost in the shuffle and you know BF3 and MW3 will both have way bigger marketing campaigns.


I don't know where you live, but in the USA, BF 3 does not come out at the same time as Uncharted 3. Not to mention Battlefield Bad Company 2 sold half as much  as UC 2 on the ps3.

FW: 1.1 million

LT: 5.6 million



"Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth." -My good friend Mark Aurelius

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Spedfrom on 12 June 2011

I suck mightily at predictions, but I will say the obvious: I hope it sells by the bucketload! Around 6 or 7 million, to be ambitious. :)



Carl on 12 June 2011

Week 1 - 1.3 Million
Lifetime - 5.5 Million

Yeah, I'm being optimistic.



                            

iluvgaming on 12 June 2011
Carl2291 said:
Week 1 - 1.3 Million
Lifetime - 5.5 Million

Yeah, I'm being optimistic.


your week 1 is alright but lifetime :( lt it will reach 7-8mill easy uncharted will be the halo of ps3 with its sales improving greatly each time if drakes deception can pull 3.5mill and uncharted 2 with 4.6 hasn't been adjusted in a while u3 will be easy 7mill



Dark_Feanor on 12 June 2011
iluvgaming said:
Carl2291 said:
Week 1 - 1.3 Million
Lifetime - 5.5 Million

Yeah, I'm being optimistic.


your week 1 is alright but lifetime :( lt it will reach 7-8mill easy uncharted will be the halo of ps3 with its sales improving greatly each time if drakes deception can pull 3.5mill and uncharted 2 with 4.6 hasn't been adjusted in a while u3 will be easy 7mill

Sony needs a strong marketing campaing to achieve it. However Halo's numbers and progression are quite diferente from Uncharted.

 

1
Halo 3 (X360)
Microsoft, FPS
8.01 0.14 3.11 11.25
2
Halo 2 (XB)
Microsoft, FPS
6.65 0.11 1.67 8.43
3
Halo: Reach (X360)
Microsoft, FPS
6.36 0.07 1.94 8.38
4
Halo: Combat Evolved (XB)
Microsoft, FPS
4.91 0.10 1.42 6.43
5
Halo 3: ODST (X360)
Microsoft, FPS
4.33 0.06 1.47 5.85
6
Halo Wars (X360)
Microsoft, Strategy
1.23 0.04 0.81 2.08
7
Halo 2 Multiplayer Map Pack (XB)
Microsoft, FPS
0.53 0.00 0.15 0.68

 

1
Uncharted 2: Among Thieves(PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment, Action
2.40 0.13 2.12 4.65
2
Uncharted: Drake's Fortune (PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment, Action
1.74 0.12 1.78 3.64

 

So, if Uncharted 3 follow that pattern it would sell 5.5 to 6.5 mill.



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Beuli2 on 12 June 2011

ren't you guys being a little too optimistic? It won't do better than U2, and if it does, not for a whole much.

FW - 950k
LT - 5 millions.



Above: still the best game of the year.

ethomaz on 12 June 2011
Dark_Feanor said:
ethomaz said:
1. PS3 at $199? Not probable... $249 is more reasonable.

2. Uncharted is bigger than Battlefeld but smaller than Modern Warfare

FW: 1.3m
LT: 6.2m


Bigger than Battlefield!!?

Jesus, are you serious?

I agree with your prediction, but I think BF3 will sell way more (2 consoles + PC) than U3.

I checked the previous BF sales data and Uncharted on PS3 sold more than any BF on PS3 + 360... it's sad we have no data of the PC version for comparison.

I already said the guys here thinks BatteField is like Call of Duty in sales... BattleField sales is good like others games but nothing more than that... Uncharted fanbase is bigger than BattleField fanbase (at least in consoles).

Where the guys here took BattleField sells that much?

PS. Uncharted is selling yet... will top 5 million this year and could sell over 5.5 million lifetime.



ethomaz on 12 June 2011

pezus said:

But we haven't seen a "real" Battlefield release on consoles before. The others were spin-offs sort of. This is the third mainline BF game and will undoubtably be huge. Not Cod huge but huge nontheless

You could be right but...

BattleField 2 sold (shipped) on PC 2.25m from June 2005 to July 2006.

http://web.archive.org/web/20061013164910/www.dice.se/PDF.aspx?article=0a204e8e-a1a6-434d-894f-b8d9147750b7

Uncharted sold on PS3 2.35m in 10 weeks.

There are no reason to think BattleField is huge in sales.



GuiltySpartan77 on 12 June 2011

I say
FW 1 million
LTD 6 million
Also i don't get how you think they will drop the price of a PS3 to 199 but hey its your opinion. 250 sounds more reasonable.



ethomaz on 12 June 2011

pezus said:

Battlefield games sell for years on the PC. The community was huge and probably still is on BF2. BF1942 is still played a lot to this day and it released in 2002. Being on consoles will only make BF3 bigger. 

So how BF1942 sold (shipped) 2.5m from Sept 2002 to June 2006? You think it sold more from 2006 to date?

Huge community on PC <> sales.

If BattleField 3 sells that much (6-8m) it will be the first in the franchise.