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Forums - Sales - Uncharted 3 Sales Predictions

M.U.G.E.N on 13 June 2011

not sure about LT tbh..it's gonna be a game of legz

so LT would be around 5-6mil I think



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A203D on 13 June 2011

Not sure about FW, but 6 mil lifetime - and i think it will get a few perfect scores too.



nitekrawler1285 on 13 June 2011

Uncharted 3
FW: 1.3 M
10W: 3.8 M
LT:7.4 M

The PS3 Uncharted Trilogy plus Uncharted movie on BluRay bundle will raise all uncharted games about a million more than were initially expected in their lifetime.

Beyond that ND's third generation games tend to be their best(technically and variety of content wise). This time it's also in a genre that is stupid popular now. They are also including features that are definite boons to the genre as in splitscreen and making a larger emphasis on multi-player. If the PS3 has ever had a competitive shooter U3 is it.



dsage01 on 13 June 2011
arcane_chaos said:
Jay520 said:
FW: 1.1 million
LT: 5.1 million

Disadvantages for Uncharted 3

Uncharted 2 competed with MW2, AC2, and Batman when it launched.
Uncharted competes with MW3, AC:R, Batman: AA, Battlefield 3 (which will be bigger than BC2) and Skyrim (which will be bigger than Oblivion) when it launches.

It'll probably get a lower meta than U2. I see it getting a 91. No matter how good it is, it will NOT be as ground breaking as U2.

There is a 97% chance that Uncharted 3 will NOT be the GOTY champ this year. GOTY champs are typically New IPs (LittleBigPlanet, RDR), or surprise sequels (Uncharted 2, Mass Effect 2). This usually the rule. A game has to have freshness either by being a new IP, a surprisingly good sequel, or a long awaited sequel like Skyrim (It's beem 5 years right). So yeah, most of the GOTY awards will probably go to Skyrim or LA Noire or something surprising like Deus Ex. I say U3 has a 3 % chance of being the GOTY champ this year.

Because of the lesser GOTY awards, it won't get that boast around Dec/Jan that U2 got.

I also don't think it'll blow us away visually like Uncharted2. It's going to have some hefty competition from Battlefield 3 and Gears of War 3. Even if it does look better than those two games, it won't be anywhere near the discrepancy that Uncharted 2 had with it's nearest visual challenger (what was it? AC2), espescially considering the introduction of color to the Gears of War series. It will be interesting, no doubt.

It will not release near a $100 price cut like U2.

Advantages for Uncharted 3

Multiplayer. U2's mp was good but wasn't the best on ps3. ND said themselves that they ran out of time with mp for U2. They said they're going after COD this time and they've showed some pretty impressive gameplay so far. They're bringing the cinematics from the sp to the mp and adding new modes like 3 - team deathmatch. Also add in customization. You can tell ND has put a lot of work on the mp this time. This is where that 3% for GOTY Comes in.

I've also seen subtle improve like how the crosshairs separate entirely when shooting unlike in U2 when just the outer lines would disperse.

Solid Snake will make an appearance. This could potential attracted a few hundred-thousand MGS fans

Split Screen. It could impact sales a lot like with RE:5, or not like Killzone 3.


With all that said, the game will be great and I'll most likely enjoy it even more than U2.
First Week: A little over a million units
Lifetime: A Little over five-million units


I think split-screen could be having a positive effect on K3, the legs on K3 are looking much better than K2's; Killzone 2 dropped below 20k its 7th week, Killzone 3 is still above the 20k mark on its 15th week(selling 25k). if it keep up it could match Killzone 2 sales in nearly a year.

lol, and didn't you make a "predict uncharted 3 sales" as well?

OT:  I'd say :

1.2 mil FW

5.5-5.8 mil LTD

 


Nope I'm pretty sure that was me :) I made a thread exactly like that a couple months ago



dsage01 on 13 June 2011

Jay520 said:
@arcane_chaos

Yeah, the legs are pretty good, but I think it's because of the improved controls. I could be wrong though, we have no way of knowing for sure why the legs are so good

Yeah, I did make a thread... In fact, I think 9037 posted in it... Hmmm..

@9037

So you make a duplicate thread so that mine will be forever forgotten, huh? When you knew I made one. Don't play stupid, I know you knew. And you didn't even ask me? And you made it look so legit; you even convinced me to post in it and forget the one that I created.... Bravo, bravo

of course you realize .... This means war

Just to let you know I created this thread like 3-5 months ago I'm not sure I'll post a link soon:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=125333&page=1 here it is!



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gustave154 on 14 June 2011

1.3 million First week
5.5 million Life Time



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darthdevidem01 on 16 June 2011

1.2 Million first week

5.1 Million lifetime



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Halo_Reach on 17 June 2011

first week 610,000

LTD 4,560,000



http://i959.photobucket.com/albums/ae80/Gamespot_Hobbsey07/1245587468_spinning-baseball-bat.gif

9087 on 18 June 2011
Halo_Reach said:

first week 610,000

LTD 4,560,000


U2 had 800k FW with a smaller user base and the Uncharted name wasnt as popular back then.

 

U3 will easily have over 1 million FW.

 



BHR-3 on 22 June 2011

hard to do 1st week i need to see how many days it will be on sale for WW, definitely over a mill though

i can do end of 2011 4M

and LT @ over 6M



                                                             

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