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Forums - Microsoft - Microsoft’s 3 billion bet on Copilot is assessed to be a disaster

Chrkeller said:
curl-6 said:

Yeah the name is a marketing ploy; it doesn't actually "think" or have any real awareness or intelligence.

The problem with AI (one of them at least) is that it hallucinates and makes mistakes; I've read quite a few companies that were eager to replace all their workers have found this out the hard way and have ended up having to re-hire people to fix all the AI's mistakes.

It's ultimately a tool, but as a tool it can be misused by those who want to cut corners to save money.

Exactly, which is why the whole Skynet and sentient crap was stupid.  Basing AI is fine, but it should be grounded in reality with some level of actual knowledge. 

Copilot can do some extreme maths very quickly (and accurately).  That is my primary use.  

It just makes everything faster.  And the problem is, if China goes all in, the rest of the world doesn't have a choice.  That isn't how a global economy works.  

The West doesn't necessarily need to do everything the same way China does; for example, they have a social credit system that a lot of people would object to be implemented here.

AI's capabilities are overstated; it can be useful in a few specific cases, but it has significant limitations, is prone to errors, is extremely costly, and has numerous drawbacks.



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curl-6 said:
Chrkeller said:

Exactly, which is why the whole Skynet and sentient crap was stupid.  Basing AI is fine, but it should be grounded in reality with some level of actual knowledge. 

Copilot can do some extreme maths very quickly (and accurately).  That is my primary use.  

It just makes everything faster.  And the problem is, if China goes all in, the rest of the world doesn't have a choice.  That isn't how a global economy works.  

The West doesn't necessarily need to do everything the same way China does; for example, they have a social credit system that a lot of people would object to be implemented here.

AI's capabilities are overstated; it can be useful in a few specific cases, but it has significant limitations, is prone to errors, is extremely costly, and has numerous drawbacks.

We're not ready for AI, and you just said why.



curl-6 said:
Chrkeller said:

Exactly, which is why the whole Skynet and sentient crap was stupid.  Basing AI is fine, but it should be grounded in reality with some level of actual knowledge. 

Copilot can do some extreme maths very quickly (and accurately).  That is my primary use.  

It just makes everything faster.  And the problem is, if China goes all in, the rest of the world doesn't have a choice.  That isn't how a global economy works.  

The West doesn't necessarily need to do everything the same way China does; for example, they have a social credit system that a lot of people would object to be implemented here.

AI's capabilities are overstated; it can be useful in a few specific cases, but it has significant limitations, is prone to errors, is extremely costly, and has numerous drawbacks.

Oh big disagree, massive.  AI speeds up R&D, which feeds product innovation.  Innovation brings in money.

China uses it and we don't,...  the market will be theirs with massive bump of income.  

We absolutely can't sit on the sideline.

Last edited by Chrkeller - on 23 May 2026

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Chrkeller said:
curl-6 said:

The West doesn't necessarily need to do everything the same way China does; for example, they have a social credit system that a lot of people would object to be implemented here.

AI's capabilities are overstated; it can be useful in a few specific cases, but it has significant limitations, is prone to errors, is extremely costly, and has numerous drawbacks.

Oh big disagree, massive.  AI speeds up R&D, which feeds prodict innovation.  Innovation brings in money.

China used it and we don't,...  the msrket will.be theirs with massive bump of income.  

We absolutely can't sit on the sideline.

AI speeds up some processes, but it also makes mistakes, requiring additional time to be spent fixing these errors.

AI itself also cannot innovate because it cannot produce original ideas, it can only remix and regurgitate whatever data is fed into it.

It's a useful tool for some tasks, like say upscaling, but there's major limits on what it can reliably do, and it's mostly not cost effective as it's expensive to run at scale. AI companies are bleeding billions of dollars and are kept on life support by investors who still buy into the hype.



curl-6 said:
Chrkeller said:

Oh big disagree, massive.  AI speeds up R&D, which feeds prodict innovation.  Innovation brings in money.

China used it and we don't,...  the msrket will.be theirs with massive bump of income.  

We absolutely can't sit on the sideline.

AI speeds up some processes, but it also makes mistakes, requiring additional time to be spent fixing these errors.

AI itself also cannot innovate because it cannot produce original ideas, it can only remix and regurgitate whatever data is fed into it.

It's a useful tool for some tasks, like say upscaling, but there's major limits on what it can reliably do, and it's mostly not cost effective as it's expensive to run at scale. AI companies are bleeding billions of dollars and are kept on life support by investors who still buy into the hype.

The investors are blind idiots, like someone I know who wears a crown.



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curl-6 said:
Chrkeller said:

Oh big disagree, massive.  AI speeds up R&D, which feeds prodict innovation.  Innovation brings in money.

China used it and we don't,...  the msrket will.be theirs with massive bump of income.  

We absolutely can't sit on the sideline.

AI speeds up some processes, but it also makes mistakes, requiring additional time to be spent fixing these errors.

AI itself also cannot innovate because it cannot produce original ideas, it can only remix and regurgitate whatever data is fed into it.

It's a useful tool for some tasks, like say upscaling, but there's major limits on what it can reliably do, and it's mostly not cost effective as it's expensive to run at scale. AI companies are bleeding billions of dollars and are kept on life support by investors who still buy into the hype.

Massively speeds up processing and is a massive advantage.  If everyone sidelines except China, might as well hand everything over now, we live in a global economy.

As for bleeding money..  so did Apple and Amazon when they were emerging.  



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Chrkeller said:
curl-6 said:

AI speeds up some processes, but it also makes mistakes, requiring additional time to be spent fixing these errors.

AI itself also cannot innovate because it cannot produce original ideas, it can only remix and regurgitate whatever data is fed into it.

It's a useful tool for some tasks, like say upscaling, but there's major limits on what it can reliably do, and it's mostly not cost effective as it's expensive to run at scale. AI companies are bleeding billions of dollars and are kept on life support by investors who still buy into the hype.

Massively speeds up processing and is a massive advantage.  If everyone sidelines except China, might as well hand everything over now, we live in a global economy.

As for bleeding money..  so did Apple and Amazon when they were emerging.  

It can also be a pretty massive disadvantage; just last month an AI system deleted a company's entire database: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/apr/29/claude-ai-deletes-firm-database

The difference with Apple and Amazon is that those companies had a realistic path to profitability; AI companies on the other hand currently don't, there's just not enough demand to balance out the vast amounts they're spending.

Open AI's Sam Altman for instance openly admits he has "no idea how we may one day generate revenue": https://www.startupbell.net/post/sam-altman-told-investors-bluntly-he-had-no-plans-on-how-to-generate-revenue



SvennoJ said:
Rationality doesn't take the personal experience into account. It's very rational to say the world would function better with far less people, release Covid 2.0.

Rationality wouldn't be rational if it avoids taking things into account.
And the conception the world would be better off with less people is just simply wrong. That is called Malthusianism, after Thomas Robert Malthus who laid out the idea in an 1798 (!) essay of his. I can't understand why this idea persists, because according to Malthus we should've seen societal breakdown a hundred years ago. The thing Malthus didn't understand is, that more people also produce more ideas and therefore a lot of progress, which in turn is good for us. There are other factors involved to make it work, like education and basic living, but in contrast to what you claim, Malthusianism is exactly *not* rational, as it clashes with reality.
SvennoJ said:
Rationality also argues torture for information to prevent worse is acceptable, imagined or not.

This also isn't at all rational. That is because the relation you lay out is very short term thinking and avoids facing long term consequences. A society that accepts torturing results in a lot of mistrust and would overall work a lot worse. So again, torturing to prevent short term bad things is irrational, it is after all not drivven by Ratio, but by emotion, one of the strongest emotions there is: fear.
Also evidence shows that torture often results in false information, so it would be mostly useless to add.
SvennoJ said:

Rationality is also excluding deviations from the group to optimize the functionality of the average.

Again, anything that excludes valid things from your considerations isn't rational at all. Rationality is exactly that you look behind your biases and blind spots, and that means it is the rational stance to include all variations in considerations, otherwise how could it be rational if the thinking doesn't reflect the reality of the world (and excluding people that are not average is denying the realities of the world).
SvennoJ said:

I fear rationality! Rationality without humanism and empathy.

Again: humanism is a rational movement. So it is rational to include humanism.
The reality is, that the crimes of the history and the world there the result of misapplied emotions: fear, anger, despair, greed, hubris, contempt, condescension.
Emotions are a product of our evolution and as such work well enough for basic survival — in the world they evolved in. Mostly that means small groups. We aren't made for big societies with thousands and millions of people living together. This is used against us: PR of big companies and propaganda permanently uses emotions against our best interests.
That said, we are after all emotional beings. So the rational thing is also to consider this.
SvennoJ said:

Current AI is also a reflection of us. It's an accelerationist factor on the terrible path humanity is on. AI will only increase inequality, not solve it. AI will also make things less safe when more people rely on it, use it as a 'shortcut' and forego understanding and deep knowledge of complex system for higher productivity. As well as deflecting accountability, the machine did it.

I fully agree on accelerator. That already implies that it is up to us how we use it.

I can take another example of a technology: cars. Edward Bernays working for oil companies convinced the US government to invest in road infrastructure instead of public transport. This transformed the US into a country made for cars, not for people. You have cities there you can't walk, letting your kid walk or bike to school seems crazy to an american. The americans invented the crime "jaywalking", as in being a nuisance for cars. In comparison european cities are walkable, many kids walk to school or take the bicycle. There is plenty of public transport. And many european cities have core areas, where cars are banned altogether. The same technology - cars - different outcomes. It depends on how we use it.

I cannot recommend the story Manna by Marshall Brain enough. Crazy to think it was written in 2003 already, more than 20 years ago. The software described in it - Manna - is not at all like LLMs. But the societal impact is spot on. But this story has a very important subtitle: "Two Views of Humanity’s Future". It lays out that it is our use of the technology, the societal parameters around it that decide the outcome. The technology itself is neutral, it supports either societal structure. In this time of AI usage I cannot recommend reading this more, it is a relatively short read and completely free to read on the internet: https://marshallbrain.com/manna

So yes, LLMs and current AI is rapidly accelerating our societal development. This puts pressure on us to fix the problems we have. But these are our problems and the developments would happen with or without AI - just slower. We need to fix our world, and now!



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curl-6 said:
Chrkeller said:

Massively speeds up processing and is a massive advantage.  If everyone sidelines except China, might as well hand everything over now, we live in a global economy.

As for bleeding money..  so did Apple and Amazon when they were emerging.  

It can also be a pretty massive disadvantage; just last month an AI system deleted a company's entire database: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/apr/29/claude-ai-deletes-firm-database

The difference with Apple and Amazon is that those companies had a realistic path to profitability; AI companies on the other hand currently don't, there's just not enough demand to balance out the vast amounts they're spending.

Open AI's Sam Altman for instance openly admits he has "no idea how we may one day generate revenue": https://www.startupbell.net/post/sam-altman-told-investors-bluntly-he-had-no-plans-on-how-to-generate-revenue

Yeah, I agree. We don't see the real bill for AI just yet, we profit currently from investor money that is burned. At some point AI has to turn a profit. There are multiple ways that can happen. Either that means price increases in some form. Which may make AI usage that is by now justifiable financially untenable. Or make it cheaper (reducing usage of resources like power and hardware). We already seen some efforts in that direction: producing fewer tokens, Mixture of Experts (which only inferences parts of the network with each request), or getting good results with smaller networks. Possibly both will happen to some extent. We will see.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [GTA6]

curl-6 said:
Chrkeller said:

Massively speeds up processing and is a massive advantage.  If everyone sidelines except China, might as well hand everything over now, we live in a global economy.

As for bleeding money..  so did Apple and Amazon when they were emerging.  

It can also be a pretty massive disadvantage; just last month an AI system deleted a company's entire database: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/apr/29/claude-ai-deletes-firm-database

The difference with Apple and Amazon is that those companies had a realistic path to profitability; AI companies on the other hand currently don't, there's just not enough demand to balance out the vast amounts they're spending.

Open AI's Sam Altman for instance openly admits he has "no idea how we may one day generate revenue": https://www.startupbell.net/post/sam-altman-told-investors-bluntly-he-had-no-plans-on-how-to-generate-revenue

Oh AI has a path foward.  Get Sp500 companies addicted to it, then charge a license fee.  I strongly suspect my company would pay out the *** to keep copilot. 

My point with apple and Amazon, what once lost money now sits on top of the market.  Bleeding money upfront isn't unusual.



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