Death Stranding sold over 20mil, no? Or am I misunderstanding? (Also, I take back my comment on 10mil being bold. I thought he was saying 10mil during the holiday quarter alone.)

No, not even close to this. The 20 million figure accounts for GamePass users (and I don't know if it's also been added to PS+ before). Actual sales are probably at around 7-8 million.

Ah, I see. That makes more sense.

I think it's gonna be Mario just becouse the Switch and switch 2 install base is bigger.

Mario galaxy should win this short term since Switch install base is twice as big as PS5. As the PS5 continue to sell Ghost should gradually outsell Mario galaxy

Ghost... I only see Mario Galaxy winning if the movie really sets its sales on fire. I think people are overestimating the galaxy bundle by itself. Especially not being a limited edition/collector release, I think it will have relatively mild sales compared to a new mainline mario. 5-8m. The movie could change that though

I think Yotei should reach 10m minimum.

Ghost of Yotei will likely open to around 150k+, while Mario Galaxy will open at around 80k+. I do expect Mario to have the better legs though.

I think Mario will wiln short-term and get a nice boost once the Mario Galaxy movie comes out.

Still Ghost for sure and it seems like something everyone will kove on some level but after a few hours I'm less inclined to think it will be such a beast LT. It still will be but it'll be a ragnorok situation, not something that'll do leagues beyond SMG 1&2. It'll beat them but I'm starting to think by not that much.

I think Super Mario Galaxy will win both, since it's both on Switch 1 and Switch 2 and I expect a MK8 scenario for this game. The movie also has the same name, so that might help as well.