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Forums - Sales - Is it possible for Clair Obscur to outsell Final Fantasy XVI?

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Is it possible?

Yes, I think it will 31 56.36%
 
Maybe, I'm not sure 18 32.73%
 
No, not possible at all 6 10.91%
 
Total:55
Otter said:
BraLoD said:

Still not sure if it'll hit 5M.

Even as it'll not likely be a front loaded game, so it should keep selling for a bit, but I still believe it'll be outshadowed by games like Death Stranding, Ghost of Yotei and some others.

So unless it wins GOTY and picks up a lot of tranction next year as well, I really don't think it will end with more sales than FF16, which I expect to sell 7M+ copies in its lifetime.

Do we even have any indication that FF16 has sold more than 5m? It hasn't been featured in any chart since 2023 so unless it gets a Switch+Xbox release its not hitting 7m and 5 is not even a given.

Also there is zero chance of Expedition 33 getting outshadowed by Death Stranding or Ghost of Yotei. Not only are they familiar sequels (no shiny new experience buzz), they're also completely different gameplay experiences. If Oblivion remaster dropping on the same day didn't outshadow it, nothing will.

Never said FF16 sold over 5M, even as it's very likely it did, selling 3M as fast as it did. Said what I expect it to sell.

About the second part, we will see, I think you are vastly underestimating the release of a Hideo Kojima game sequel and the sequel to one game that sold over 10M being a new IP.



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It hit 2 million. 



I love it. hit C2 and its great. Everything i could want from an FF game. This reminds me of the time FF13 let me down and Lost Odyssey picked up the pieces and felt like the FF13 i should of been playing. This so far is one of the best JRPGs ive ever played. Its easy hit my top 10 already and ive been playing JRPG's for a long time. And yes i dont give a shit if its not made in japan.



Yeah this is going to crush FF16's sales. Very strong legs/word of mouth. A non Japanese "JRPG" outselling thee JRPG (well... the title) is kind of tragic, but it's deserved all things considered.



I voted yes, but Square does have a card up their sleeve: Nintendo Switch 2.
If they release there— and they probably will, it will be very hard for 33 to catch up.
Now a dream for me would be if Bravely Default HD outsold FFXVI, I loved that game on the 3DS, it's a shame I am not seeing the hype for it. Come on guys, it's a turn based jrpg too!



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Also, this game will have Switch 2 to bump more sales so even if FF16 releases on Switch as someone said then this will do better numbers 🤣 There is no way SE aren't going to look like a bunch of Dinosaurs after this game has it's way with the industry.

You hot the award season bump, the film bump and then the Switch 2 bump. FF has and continues to loose so many of us even as Rebirth reignited the love FF14 gave me for the series and hope it still isn't enough as the game has severe issues. They litterally have to halt everything and course correct. I can only imagine how much noise they would make if they came out and said they are returning to turn based in full and not a hybrid system but then to showcase it with the same real-time elements of COE E33.



FF7 Rebirth has an excellent system for future games to build upon. I really wouldn't want Final Fantasy to return to Turnbased or classic ATB outside spinoffs.

Rebirth's current main drawbacks are being the middle part of a fragmented remake, and the lack of a Switch 2 version.

Last edited by Kyuu - on 07 May 2025

LegitHyperbole said:

Also, this game will have Switch 2 to bump more sales so even if FF16 releases on Switch as someone said then this will do better numbers 🤣 There is no way SE aren't going to look like a bunch of Dinosaurs after this game has it's way with the industry.

You hot the award season bump, the film bump and then the Switch 2 bump. FF has and continues to loose so many of us even as Rebirth reignited the love FF14 gave me for the series and hope it still isn't enough as the game has severe issues. They litterally have to halt everything and course correct. I can only imagine how much noise they would make if they came out and said they are returning to turn based in full and not a hybrid system but then to showcase it with the same real-time elements of COE E33.

Will it?

It really doesn't need it though. A game selling as much in its second week and even climbing the charts versus its first week (overtaking Oblivion this week), is always the sign of a viral hit. It will do 5m this year and probably 8-10m LT.




Well a bit unfair if you compare the price of the game 5 million of a 69/79.99 game really means a lot more than 5 million of a 50/54.99 priced game.

But if the question was, does it deserve to sell more? Yes.






Otter said:
LegitHyperbole said:

Also, this game will have Switch 2 to bump more sales so even if FF16 releases on Switch as someone said then this will do better numbers 🤣 There is no way SE aren't going to look like a bunch of Dinosaurs after this game has it's way with the industry.

You hot the award season bump, the film bump and then the Switch 2 bump. FF has and continues to loose so many of us even as Rebirth reignited the love FF14 gave me for the series and hope it still isn't enough as the game has severe issues. They litterally have to halt everything and course correct. I can only imagine how much noise they would make if they came out and said they are returning to turn based in full and not a hybrid system but then to showcase it with the same real-time elements of COE E33.

Will it?

It really doesn't need it though. A game selling as much in its second week and even climbing the charts versus its first week (overtaking Oblivion this week), is always the sign of a viral hit. It will do 5m this year and probably 8-10m LT.


For sure it will, they are aligned with Xbox but not bound to them. If Xbox funded them yo get to this quality which I assume they did, they'll want as many sales as possible and that means Switch 2. It's UE5 so scaling it should be no issue.