I think bare minimum is going to be 100M+ with lifetime sales somewhere between 120M - 130M.

I think it'll have a slow start due to the price, but will rise during it's second year. Still, all that steam lost from the launch will cost sales, and so I think it'll sell about 120M when all is said and done.

If tariffs don't get reversed, we're looking at the real possibility that this is the first international Nintendo platform to date where North America isn't the best-selling region (which USA makes up most of the sales). Europe or even Japan might take the crown.

A lot will depend on the stuation in the US. Right now I am going to say between 75-100 to be safe. If tariffs don't screw everyone over it should be fine but if it comes in at 600 it not gonna be good. I expect it to be a lower than the Switch because it (hopefully) wont get a pandemic boost and its more expensive. I say that PS5 and Switch 2 should easilly be able to get close to or clear 100 million.

Should have been called the Super Nintendo Switch. I'm now convinced of it. Or The Nintendo Click cause it clicks into place now. Switch 2 smells of Wii U.

Oh and for the thread. Less than 75 million and far less at that. How much less will depend on a variety of worldly factors now that seem completely unpredictable. My predictions for PS5 have also massively reduced and the PS6 is dead in the water, Recession doesn't typically hit video game consoles but with the cost of living and current events I just don't think people are going to be able to upgrade after a certain point with the price these things are going to cost. We might have to take out a loan to buy a loaf of bread never mind luxury tech items.

Recession doesn't hit the video game industry as a whole, but that doesn't necessarily mean it avoids every console.  If there is a recession in the next year or so, then people could avoid both the Switch 2 and PS5 and instead focus on other gaming platforms like Switch 1, PS4, mobile, low-end PC and so on.

3rd parties will be the decider on where this ends, but mainly based on the price point, I'm expecting it closer to 100 million than 150 million

You're exactly right, I keep making the mistake og thinking everything is fine individually but it's indeed not the case. Same for games, some will sell really well and some will tank massively, we have already been seeing that lately with Dragon Age and FF Rebirth and so on, people are being more selective and using identity politics and a slight few points of an aggregate to erase their FOMO cause if everyone agrees a game is bad they can feel better about not purchasing it. Impulse buying had certainly gone with the wind and now people are going to be pushed into buying fewer games or waiting for sales. I fear for the industry and us with all our games owned digitally, what is Xbox was dismantled by MS and the platform becomes unavailable to people digitally. Damn, the thought is rotten. 

The pricing does hurt but I do think a lot of people are really overestimating the impact of that. People complained about pricing following the Switch 1 presentation and we all know how much that mattered in the end. It's possible it matters more this time but the Switch 2 Lite should release a couple years from now so long term things will be fine. Assuming the Switch 2 gets a full 8 years to itself I don't see a world where it doesn't sell at least as well as the PS4/GB. It'll sell less than the Switch but it has a decent shot of getting to the 130's as long as Nintendo doesn't screw up with the big Switch 2 games and so far it doesn't seem like that's going to happen.