PS2 tie ratio was 9.68 games per console sold

Switch 8.58 games per console sold 

Your guess do not look grounded in reality 

On topic

Switch is going to outsell PS2

3. has a good chance of happening. However, I don't understand why you give the New Switch only 60 mil max. sales? The New Switch will be market as a brand new system, only investors and nerds will know that Nintendo counts its sales numbers to the original Switch.

Also, in general, we should not think too much about what Nintendo did in the past, like killing off old consoles very fast. Its their first hybrid console and a VERY successful one. There's nothing we can take from the past. It's an all new situation with a new Nintendo President who's having his first console transition.

If Nintendo wanted to make Switch best selling console of all time, I'm pretty sure they could (slash prices, increase marketing budget, release new bundles/SKUs, delay successor), but they're not going to take a loss or compromise the release of their new system in any way because of one metric, which at this point in time is irrelevant anyway as they long passed their peak growth and with it, spend per customer. So, no. I don't think Switch will surpass the PS2 as it would have to be one of the Nintendo's goals, which I'm sure it isn't.

[double posted by mistake]

Yeah, I doubt many people bought it solely for being a DVD player, however I think many people chose a PS2 over the competition because it had a DVD player included. Like, why buy a DVD player and Dreamcast/GameCube/Xbox (I know Xbox could with an add-on) when I can just get a PS2?

Obviously there was a lot more to PS2 being such a juggernaut like coming off the success of PS1 and having huge exclusive/timed exclusive franchises like Grand Theft Auto, Gran Turismo, Final Fantasy, Metal Gear Solid, Kingdom Hearts, etc. but I think DVD playback right out of the box was a big deal at the time.

Agreed. As I've said several times (as others have too) Switch already holds the crown for the most profitable platform of all-time from sales data. Nintendo cares far more about that than bragging rights of surpassing the DS and PS2. They've already surpassed PS4 and GB+GBC. 

Console tie ratios increase over time due to software sales having a different trajectory than console sales. So Switch is very possible to have a better tie ratio than PS2 along with not even having all of it's games counted. Nintendo doesn't include digital only software like Sony does for PS4 and PS5. Regardless your overall point was to establish PS2 wasn't just a DVD player, which is correct and the vast majority was certainly buying for it to be their gaming console.

PS2 launched in an economically successful era. The housing market collapse didn't happen until 8-9 years after PS2 launched.

NS launched in 2017 and by the beginning of 2020 the global economy went to the toilet. Shortages, mass layoffs, stock market values plummeting, mass inflation. People got really picky on what they spent money on for 1/2 to 2/3rd's of the NS' life cycle, and yet it *still* came close to having a better games to console ratio than the PS2.

And that's without even going into the fact that towards the last few years of the PS2's life they sold it for dirt cheap so people would buy more games, inflating those numbers more, whereas Nintendo is still selling the NS at a large profit point per console sold.

None of that has anything to do with his point. PS2 has a high tie ratio. The DVD myth needs to stop being parotted especially to the degree of "Probably 20-30 million PS2 sales, at least, came from people simply wanting a cheaper DVD player".

The vast majority of buyers bought it to play games.

Also "PS2's life they sold it for dirt cheap so people would buy more games, inflating those numbers more" I'm not sure you understand how tie ratio works. Selling hardware dirt cheap would lower the tie ratio if anything.