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Forums - Sales Discussion - Clash of the October 20th titans: Which will sell more, Mario Wonder or Spiderman 2?

 

Which will sell more?

Super Mario Bros Wonder 126 84.56%
 
Spiderman 2 23 15.44%
 
Total:149
zorg1000 said:
zeldaring said:

It's still way to early but I said its diffently not looking like 30+ million titles like many believed

Based on?

Switch is at the end of its cycle and games will be more front loaded like totk. Mario is looking to have longer legs but it won't last.



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zeldaring said:
zorg1000 said:

Based on?

Switch is at the end of its cycle and games will be more front loaded like totk. Mario is looking to have longer legs but it won't last.

It won't last based on what? We don't know about any of the things that I think could impact Wonder's legs:

  1. We don't know when the next Nintendo console will be released
  2. We don't know if the next Nintendo console will be backwards compatible
  3. We don't know if they will re-release Wonder for the next console
  4. We don't know when the next 2D Mario is coming

Because of that 30m is not out of reach IMO. It's not 100% guaranteed it will get there, though



Really trying to go for another loop again with those predictions hardly based on statistical evidence and sales facts, huh Zeldaring ?

Honestly, I was glad that you seemed to partially own up to the hubris you showed early on. But now that the game's coming to a close, you're kinda falling for the same behavioral patterns again.

Anyway, Mario's performing utmost to his top form 2 months after the holiday season, still on top of the charts mostly. This is probably gonna translate to good sales for this quarter too most probably.

Don't know what we'll have to expect of Spiderman though, it hasn't kept up with Mario Wonder on most software charts so, I'm forced to guess that Mario will carve itself a bigger gap between both games after the next fiscal quarter



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Just goes to show you that Mario still has a lot of clout with us gamers. Especially us gamers born in the 90s who want to buy our favorite childhood games.



BiON!@ 

Looks like I nailed my prediction of Mario Wonder doing 20 million. Told you guys.



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zeldaring said:

Looks like I nailed my prediction of Mario Wonder doing 20 million. Told you guys.

It shipped more copies (1.48m) than Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (1.39m) during the past quarter, bringing its LTD figure to 13.44m. Nintendo also confirmed that Switch's successor won't launch this fiscal year.

Good luck with your prediction.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.

zeldaring said:

Looks like I nailed my prediction of Mario Wonder doing 20 million. Told you guys.

Yes, you totally nailed it, Mario games aren’t known for selling millions of copies annually for  multiple years.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Mario Odyssey
FY18–10.41m
FY19-4.04m
FY20-2.97m
FY21-3.42m
FY22-2.67m
FY23-2.25m
FY24-2.20m

NSMBU Deluxe
FY19-3.31m
FY20-3.29m
FY21-3.84m
FY22-2.86m
FY23-2.11m
FY24-2.03m

3D World+Bowser’s Fury
FY21-5.59m
FY22-3.84m
FY23-1.95m
FY24-2.10m

Mario Wonder is totally going to stop selling after this year.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

RolStoppable said:
zeldaring said:

Looks like I nailed my prediction of Mario Wonder doing 20 million. Told you guys.

It shipped more copies (1.48m) than Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (1.39m) during the past quarter, bringing its LTD figure to 13.44m. Nintendo also confirmed that Switch's successor won't launch this fiscal year.

Good luck with your prediction.

Yea beating Mario kart is not impressive at all since Mario wonder is basically a newly released game on a user base of 140 million, sales of wonder are obviously gonna be very front loaded, and switch is about to start really falling off this with switch 2 being announced.

Don't really need luck it's obvious this sales will be around 20-22 million just like i predicted and not 32-40 million like you predicted. 



zorg1000 said:

Mario Odyssey
FY18–10.41m
FY19-4.04m
FY20-2.97m
FY21-3.42m
FY22-2.67m
FY23-2.25m
FY24-2.20m

NSMBU Deluxe
FY19-3.31m
FY20-3.29m
FY21-3.84m
FY22-2.86m
FY23-2.11m
FY24-2.03m

3D World+Bowser’s Fury
FY21-5.59m
FY22-3.84m
FY23-1.95m
FY24-2.10m

Mario Wonder is totally going to stop selling after this year.

You don't seem to understand that switch is at the end of its cycle and sales will be way more front loaded then before.  This is selling to user base of 140 million vs those other games where switch was in its prime and obviously those ever greens will have much longer legs, just look at TOTK, it's not gonna sale as much as BOTW for sure.