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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo quarterly sales update (To December 31st 2022) Switch 122.55 million

That's 8.22 million for the quarter.

Updated software numbers:

  • Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 52m
  • Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 41.59m
  • Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 30.44m
  • The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 29m
  • Pokémon Sword/Shield - 25.68m
  • Super Mario Odyssey - 25.12m
  • Pokémon Scarlet/Violet -20.61m
  • Super Mario Party - 18.79m
  • Ring Fit Adventure - 15.22m
  • Pokemon: Let's Go! - 15.07m
  • New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe – 14.75m
  • Pokemon Legends: Arceus – 14.63m
  • Luigi’s Mansion 3 – 12.44m
  • Super Mario 3D World + Bowser’s Fury – 10.83m
  • Splatoon 3 - 10.3m
  • Mario Party Superstars - 9.38m
  • Switch Sports - 8.61m
  • Kirby and the Forgotten Land - 6.12m
  • Mario Strikers: Battle League – 2.47m
  • Xenoblade Chronicles 3 – 1.81m
  • Bayonetta 3 – 1.04m

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html

https://gonintendo.com/contents/15870-nintendo-q3-results-for-fiscal-year-2023-switch-hits-122-55-million-sold

Last edited by curl-6 - on 07 February 2023

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I was expecting way more sales for Xenoblade 3. Very small numbers for this quarter. Even more sad being Christmas season :(



The sales of the 3D Mario games are really impressive.

Mario Odyssey now at past 25 million and still climbing is going to end up very close to NSMB on the Wii and DS without the benefit of being bundled as heavily as those games were. It will double the sales of Mario Galaxy on the Wii and then some. 

Mario 3D World crosses 10 million sold on Switch, 3D All-Stars would have topped 10 million easy too if Nintendo didn't discontinue it.

It's also kinda nuts that Zelda: Breath of the Wild is going to outsell every Mario platformer outside of Super Mario Bros. and that's basically because it was sold with almost every NES in the West and probably every Pokemon game ever too. I mean for a series that had a previous sales high of like 8.5 million units to go from there to 30+ million is unbelievable. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 07 February 2023

Hard to believe that Bloomberg report of Switch production increasing tbh, it seems like all indications are pointing towards demand slowing down after Nintendo dropped their forecast again. The switch should be on the decline so it might be time to consider price cuts or new models. A Switch TV-only console would be nice and IMO more appealing than the Switch lite since many Switch players play a lot of local multiplayer games like MK,Smash,etc and may only care about the TV experience of the Switch so it could be another cheap option. The much higher sales of the Switch/Oled compared to the Lite show that many people prioritize playing on the TV.



javi741 said:

Hard to believe that Bloomberg report of Switch production increasing tbh, it seems like all indications are pointing towards demand slowing down after Nintendo dropped their forecast again. The switch should be on the decline so it might be time to consider price cuts or new models. A Switch TV-only console would be nice and IMO more appealing than the Switch lite since many Switch players play a lot of local multiplayer games like MK,Smash,etc and may only care about the TV experience of the Switch so it could be another cheap option. The much higher sales of the Switch/Oled compared to the Lite show that many people prioritize playing on the TV.

It looks like Nintendo cut their fiscal year forecast for Switch from 19 million to 18 million, so it looks like Bloomberg got it wrong. 



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Bayo 3 over a million! WOO!



Bite my shiny metal cockpit!

Soundwave said:
javi741 said:

Hard to believe that Bloomberg report of Switch production increasing tbh, it seems like all indications are pointing towards demand slowing down after Nintendo dropped their forecast again. The switch should be on the decline so it might be time to consider price cuts or new models. A Switch TV-only console would be nice and IMO more appealing than the Switch lite since many Switch players play a lot of local multiplayer games like MK,Smash,etc and may only care about the TV experience of the Switch so it could be another cheap option. The much higher sales of the Switch/Oled compared to the Lite show that many people prioritize playing on the TV.

It looks like Nintendo cut their fiscal year forecast for Switch from 19 million to 18 million, so it looks like Bloomberg got it wrong. 

Bloomberg was referring to the next fiscal year, not this one. But even then it's hard to believe.



Once again Nintendo has lowered their forecast. Completely expected since they thought they would ship 21m at the start.

Remember 2019 did 21m with an 11m holiday.

Here we have an 8m holiday, which shows a normal decline for a console this old. So nothing crazy happening.



Some extra info for others and myself.

YoY shipments Q3

Japan 2.29m > 2.09m (-9%)
Americas 3.80m > 3.07m (-19%)
Europe 3.38m > 2.42m (-28%)
Others 1.19m > 0.65m (-45%)
Total 10.67m > 8.22m (-23%)

Japan barely dropped due to Pokemon and Splatoon 3. I too underestimated the power of those games for Japan's market, and the Switch didn't decline how I expected at all. Next year will be quite interesting for Japan, I wonder if Nintendo has any heavy hitters for Japan.

The US too responds well to games like Pokemon, but not as much as Japan.

However Switch dropped hard in Others and Europe. This is despite reports of the Switch doing quite well in some European markets like Spain. But once again Spain loves games like Pokemon.



Definitely a strong quarter for its age but factors like the lowered forecast show that it's very much in the decline phase now since with software notably down compared to the last holiday quarter even with the massive launch of Pokemon SV and 33m software sales forecast for the current quarter down from 55m last year indicates that software will start declining now as well so the successor should release in 2024. 2025 would see sales momentum and thus Nintendo's revenue and profit drop too much at the rate the decline is going. It'll do well this year for sure probably landing in the 13-15m range hardware wise and about 180m software wise but 2023 will be the last big year for the Switch.

Also Europe dropping harder than the Americas and Japan is pretty notable since it needs to do better than that there to surpass the PS2 due to its European sales while great not being amazing like it has been for the other two. The chance it does surpass it has gone down a lot lately so around 150m lifetime is looking increasingly likely. It's still possible it reaches 160m but I view that as quite unlikely now. I hope it does get there though since it'd be very cool for the record to get broken.

And man over 50m for MK8 is ridiculous. It's gonna easily go past 60m and might even finish in the 70's. Switch software in total has already surpassed the DS now so there will be a big gap by the end of 2024 with it joining the PS2/PS4 tier.

Last edited by Norion - on 07 February 2023