That was so long ago. They wouldn't make an entire new more powerful model just for one 2-3mil seller because Miyamoto almost 10 years ago thought a Pikmin game would look nicer in 4K.

I find it absurd and hilarious that there are still people who keep going with this "it looks to good to be running on the Switch" bullshit year after year with every at least halfway graphically intensive game that gets shown.

Tears of the Kingdom graphically looks like an improvement over BotW just like Splatoon 3 and XC3 are over their predecessors.

Nothing conclusive points to a more powerful model arriving for TotK.

If you want to go by what Miyamoto said in 2013, he said that Zelda doesn't need 4K. But it's not like it matters what he thought 9 years ago.

I think 18 million sales for next year, no new model to release
Switch 2 will be a late 2023 release

Miyamoto also said Pikmin 4 was also developed like 7 years ago.  I personally wouldn't mind a more powerful Switch, but it is not happening anytime soon.  The current Switch is still selling well without a price cut.  There is simply zero reason for Nintendo to have an upgrade.  It isn't happening.  At this point Nintendo might as well wait another 2-3 years for a Switch 2, which hopefully is full BC and digital games carry over.  

Agree on the first sentence. 18 million sounds about right and yeah I don't think we'll get a new model. 

But the second sentence...come on. There's zero chance of Switch 2 in 2023. Earliest probable launch date is holiday 2024. I never understood all these "Switch 2 is coming soon" predictions. Back in 2019 and 2020 people were saying Switch 2 would come in 2022, even I think in 2021 some people still thought it might hit either holiday 2022 or Spring 2023. And now even in late 2022 apparently we still have people thinking it's only a year away when the Switch has so much life, and games, left to come. There is zero reason for Nintendo to release a new system next year. Holiday 2024 and Spring 2025 is the most likely and logical launch period (doesn't cut off Switch super early and allows time for a bunch more games to come out on Switch, while not dragging out Switch too long and have a low selling final year which would probably be the case if they kept it going until holiday 2025, and also allowing the current chip shortages to fade away by the time they need to start producing the next system). Just trying to point out the obvious :)

If the Switch 2 is releasing next year the Switch is not going to be able to move 18mil units. As soon as they reveal the successor the sales will start dropping.

That's a "my bad" moment
Was having a crazy morning and forgot we were in 2022

I thought it was 2021

Addendum: I think the switch will sell 18 million next year 2023, and. A switch 2 will launch in late 2024

I chose a more conservative 15M. I think that the Switch will slow down more significantly next year than some are predicting while not quite hitting the sudden drop that the DS hit.

The end of 2022 they will be at around 122M. By the end of 2023 they will be at 137-138M. This is because they will announce a successor sometime in 2023 for launch in 2024, this impacting sales.

2024 sales will be around 9M for a total of 146-147M

The remaining will be around 7M bringing it right up behind the DS.

Do you guys think that we will see a Mario game next year, which will share content of the animated movie, which will be released April 7, 2023?

I can see a chance for a potential release in March 2023 or autumn, although there are no rumors yet. A new 3D Mario game would underline the strong first party support for next year, which should definitely push Switch sales up to 17-18M in 2023.

@siebensus4 I feel like early 2023 would be too close to Zelda for a 3D Mario. I'm of the opinion that the 3D Mario team (and maybe even the 2D Mario team) is working on a Donkey Kong game, and I could see that being the big Holiday 2023 title.