By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu sales: Week 1, 2022 - (27th Dec - 2nd Jan)

kirby007 said:

We haven't had a single week with a switch shortage, just like we won't when the QHD switch drops in november

What are you talking about dude?



Around the Network
Kakadu18 said:
zorg1000 said:

Switch will probably sell something like 4-4.5 million this year. A big decline from 2020/2021 but still very strong sales.

Similar to DS/3DS when they peaked, had a year of modest decline followed by a big decline.

DS
2006-8.86m
2007-7.14m
2008-4.03m

3DS
2012-5.62m
2013-4.93m
2014-3.15m

NSW
2020-5.96m
2021-5.58m
2022-4.2m

I'm going to predict 4.6mil.

I guess Switch won't fall below 2019 level (4.5m) in 2022. Software lineup is just too good and at least Splatoon 3 should push a decent amout of consoles in Japan, and also BOTW 2. I expect the big drop in 2023.

Nintendo killed the DS too fast. I don't think they make this mistake again.



zorg1000 said:

Switch will probably sell something like 4-4.5 million this year. A big decline from 2020/2021 but still very strong sales.

Similar to DS/3DS when they peaked, had a year of modest decline followed by a big decline.

DS
2006-8.86m
2007-7.14m
2008-4.03m

3DS
2012-5.62m
2013-4.93m
2014-3.15m

NSW
2020-5.96m
2021-5.58m
2022-4.2m

Hard agree.

I have been asking for years when people expect the Switch to stop peaking. Apparently that year was 2020. But people kept pushing that peak year later and later, not realizing that yes all consoles have to sell less at some point regardless of top tier games.

Of course it is not like the Switch is doing badly. It is doing great! Considering the situation of the Japanese market nowadays.



Kakadu18 said:
kirby007 said:

We haven't had a single week with a switch shortage, just like we won't when the QHD switch drops in november

What are you talking about dude?

You think the OLED is going to be the only upgrade before a switch 2?



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kirby007 said:
Kakadu18 said:

What are you talking about dude?

You think the OLED is going to be the only upgrade before a switch 2?

Yes



Around the Network

Software Top 30 for this week has been released and is now reflected in the OP



Switch: SW-3707-5131-3911
XBox: Kenjabish

rapsuperstar31 said:
ShadowLink93 said:

NSW Famitsu Calender year Sales

2017: 3.41m
2018: 3.48m
2019: 4.49m
2020: 5.96m
2021: 5.58m
2022: ?????

How many this year? 4.5m to 5m?

Around 5...unless we get that rumored Mario Kart 9, Donkey Kong and Zelda this year in which case I think it has its best year, especially if ps5/xbox stays hard to find throughout the year.

I think the Switch has reached saturation point in Japan. There tends to be a slowdown at the 20m mark. Just for reference, only 2 consoles has ever broken the 25m (and subsequently 30m), the DS and GB. The GB did it over 15 years and a complete redesign (many will argue the Gameboy Colour was a totally different console). 

Personally, I'll be surprised if the switch breaks 4m this year especially as there are no new killer IPs like AC in 2020 and MH in 2021. Splatoon 3 and Zelda should keep its momentum going though so I'm predicting a "conservative" 3-3.5m. I just think the baseline will be dropping significantly towards 50k'sh a week rather than the constant 80-100k we were seeing the last couple of years. 



kenjab said:

Software Top 30 for this week has been released and is now reflected in the OP

Another clean sweep for the Switch!



Signature goes here!

Splatoon 2 reached 4 million. That's two times more than Breath of the Wild (1.9m) or almost two times more than Super Mario Odyssey (2.3m).

Splatoon 2 is in the same league as Mario Kart 8 (4.3m), Pokemon Sword/Shield (4.2m) or Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (4.6m) now.

I expect awesome numbers from Splatoon 3 in Japan. Not so sure if it can push hardware that much so late in its life cycle.



siebensus4 said:

Splatoon 2 reached 4 million. That's two times more than Breath of the Wild (1.9m) or almost two times more than Super Mario Odyssey (2.3m).

Splatoon 2 is in the same league as Mario Kart 8 (4.3m), Pokemon Sword/Shield (4.2m) or Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (4.6m) now.

I expect awesome numbers from Splatoon 3 in Japan. Not so sure if it can push hardware that much so late in its life cycle.

Splatoon 1 was locked behind Wii U, which bombed.

Splatoon 2 was basically just Splatoon 1.5, didn't have anything truly new until the expansion in regards to engaging new customers (people that didn't play Splatoon 1 because of it's multiplayer focus weren't suddenly going to get 2 because it has more maps and guns). Even then, it's an expansion which is a barrier since it isn't built into the full game.

Splatoon 3 appears to FINALLY be a narrative game, which will get holdouts like me to buy it whereas I had no interest in Splatoon 2 being a basically multiplayer-only game. Because of this, I could see Splatoon 3 being the best selling and most hardware driving Splatoon game yet despite launching so late in Switch's life. It appeals to both the multiplayer and story-obsessrd crowds.