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Forums - Movies & TV - Tracking Spider-Man: No Way Home's domestic box office (#2 all-time opening weekend!)

 

What will No Way Home gross lifetime domestically?

Less than $500M 1 3.13%
 
$500-549M 2 6.25%
 
$550-599M 2 6.25%
 
$600-649M 4 12.50%
 
$650-699M 5 15.63%
 
$700-749M 3 9.38%
 
$750-799M 3 9.38%
 
$800M or greater 12 37.50%
 
Total:32

It will easily make over $600 million domestically even with the COVID surge and some theaters shutting down. Once today's number come in it will be the third highest grossing movie of the year worldwide. It will be the highest grossing movie worldwide by either Friday or Saturday and pass 1 billion by either Sunday or Monday and will be the first 1-billion-dollar movie worldwide since 2019.



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Went to watch it today with my brother. I kind of enjoyed it despite not being into Marvel stuff. People cheered a LOT when the two spoiler characters came onto the screen.



 

 

 

 

 

I'll put in the 650 to 699 million range. I know it's already around 467 million, but I see it as very frontloaded. People just aren't going to movies as much anymore because of the global pandemic.
Even if it goes notably above my prediction, I don't see it matching The Force Awakens or Endgame. It might skirt past Black Panther and get around Avatar level. I don't think it's going to hit 2 billion globally.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Well, my predictions were pretty much spot on. I think, there will be at least two movies making over one billion in 2022. There is actually a chance that a Chinese film will make over one billion dollars in 2022.



Congrats to Spider-Man: No Way Home for going over $1 billion in the box office!



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I looked up the domestic totals of Black Panther and Infinity War. Turns out they aren't that different.

Infinity War $679M
Black Panther $700M

I went ahead and guessed 650-699M, because I think No Way Home will end up around these totals too.



Shadow1980 said:

. Of the three MCU films released this year, Shang-Chi was the only one to even crossed the $200M mark, and until this past weekend was the only one of two films overall the pass that milestone, the other being Venom 2 

Venom is not part of the MCU/Venom 2 is not an MCU film



SKMBlake said:
Shadow1980 said:

. Of the three MCU films released this year, Shang-Chi was the only one to even crossed the $200M mark, and until this past weekend was the only one of two films overall the pass that milestone, the other being Venom 2 

Venom is not part of the MCU/Venom 2 is not an MCU film

i don't know man...

Spoiler!
after watching No way home i dare say venom is indeed MCU, as much as Tobey maguire and Andrew garfield Spider movies.


Shadow1980 said:

Though also see again the above spoilers.

Naaaaah I hadn't the chance to see it yet.



Bristow9091 said:

Just looked at the total sales (Well, based only on wiki lol) and it's at $1.380m so far... it's now passed Black Panther to become the highest non-Avengers MCU film and could very easily outdo the first two Avengers films (Not including inflation) daaaaaamn. Definitely deserves it though, loved it!

Crazy thing is that it will pass the 1.5 Billions mark without releasing in China and with high number of Covid cases.