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Forums - Movies & TV - Tracking Spider-Man: No Way Home's domestic box office (#2 all-time opening weekend!)

 

What will No Way Home gross lifetime domestically?

Less than $500M 1 3.13%
 
$500-549M 2 6.25%
 
$550-599M 2 6.25%
 
$600-649M 4 12.50%
 
$650-699M 5 15.63%
 
$700-749M 3 9.38%
 
$750-799M 3 9.38%
 
$800M or greater 12 37.50%
 
Total:32

I know that this thread is about domestic gross, but where do you guys think No Way Home will land at worldwide in the end? Will it hit $2 billion?

Also, how many weeks will No Way Home be shown in theaters?



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The_Liquid_Laser said:

I looked up the domestic totals of Black Panther and Infinity War. Turns out they aren't that different.

Infinity War $679M
Black Panther $700M

I went ahead and guessed 650-699M, because I think No Way Home will end up around these totals too.

Well, I definitely underestimated No Way Home.  It's about to clear $700M.  Black Panther was a huge film when it released, especially in the US.  Any film that can pass Black Panther has scored a major accomplishment.

I think Avatar is about $760 million. I think it is unlikely to pass that, but it does have an outside chance if it can keep up great legs.  Most likely it will end up between Avatar and Black Panther which is an impressive spot to be in.



The_Liquid_Laser said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I looked up the domestic totals of Black Panther and Infinity War. Turns out they aren't that different.

Infinity War $679M
Black Panther $700M

I went ahead and guessed 650-699M, because I think No Way Home will end up around these totals too.

Well, I definitely underestimated No Way Home.  It's about to clear $700M.  Black Panther was a huge film when it released, especially in the US.  Any film that can pass Black Panther has scored a major accomplishment.

I think Avatar is about $760 million. I think it is unlikely to pass that, but it does have an outside chance if it can keep up great legs.  Most likely it will end up between Avatar and Black Panther which is an impressive spot to be in.

And if you account for the fact that Avatar had a disproportionately large amount of its gross come from 3D and large-format showings, its actual admissions are less than most other films with a comparable gross. Based on what I've read on the matter, it appears that Avatar grossed about 32% more per ticket than the overall average for all films. Adjusted for ticket price inflation, Avatar grossed $878.6M, about $20.2M more than Avengers: Endgame, which had a vastly lower percent of its admissions represented by 3D showings, so in terms of total admissions, Endgame almost certainly beat Avatar by a considerable margin. If we adjust Avatar's gross down by, say 30%, to account for that movie's higher per-ticket gross, that would still put it at ~$615M, still within the Top 15 films of the century.

Speaking of which, assuming No Way Home ends at around $750M, this is how it will figure into the Top 15 films of the 21st century (again adjusted to 2019 ticket prices):

Lifetime gross Year
Star Wars: The Force Awakens $990,334,300 2015
Avatar $878,605,300 2009
Avengers: Endgame $858,373,000 2019
Spider-Man: No Way Home ~$750,000,000 2021
The Avengers $704,231,800 2012
Jurassic World $703,392,700 2015
Black Panther $698,654,300 2018
The Dark Knight $680,304,300 2008
Avengers: Infinity War $663,364,500 2018
Shrek 2 $650,826,500 2004
Spider-Man $636,480,300 2002
Star Wars: The Last Jedi $619,165,600 2015
Incredibles 2 $607,300,700 2018
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $591,995,900 2006
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King $563,689,300 2003

That's one hell of an accomplishment if I do say so myself. While we need to see how some of the big films of this year perform, No Way Home doing as well as it's been doing does seem to be a good indicator that cinemas could be headed towards a full recovery, pandemic or no pandemic.

Last edited by Shadow1980 - on 17 January 2022

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Torpoleon said:

I know that this thread is about domestic gross, but where do you guys think No Way Home will land at worldwide in the end? Will it hit $2 billion?

Also, how many weeks will No Way Home be shown in theaters?

Depends if it gets a theatrical release in China.

Without it, it’s going to be really tough. It has a shot, but its legs have some work to do. 



As of this past Monday, Spider-Man: No Way Home has reached a lifetime gross of $702.6M, making it one of only seven movies this century to pass the $700M mark (including inflation-adjusted grosses, of course).

Last edited by Shadow1980 - on 19 January 2022

Visit http://shadowofthevoid.wordpress.com

In accordance to the VGC forum rules, §8.5, I hereby exercise my right to demand to be left alone regarding the subject of the effects of the pandemic on video game sales (i.e., "COVID bump").

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Charts updated with Week 5 grosses.

Not much to report aside from NWH crossing the $700M mark as commented on the other day. It continues to do about on par with other major blockbusters, and is continuing to do about on par with what Infinity War did after its second week. Assuming it continues on at this pace, it is still on target for a roughly $750M final lifetime gross.



Visit http://shadowofthevoid.wordpress.com

In accordance to the VGC forum rules, §8.5, I hereby exercise my right to demand to be left alone regarding the subject of the effects of the pandemic on video game sales (i.e., "COVID bump").

Congrats to Spider-Man: No Way Home! I'm about to watch it again.



Edit: Wrong thread.



No Way Home is doing very well, it made $11 million in its 7th weekend and made $9.5 million in its 8th.



Proud to be a Californian.

Just passed Avatar.